CLINICAL RESEARCH: HEART RHYTHM DISORDERS
Prognostic Utility of Microvolt T-Wave Alternans in Risk Stratification of Patients With Ischemic Cardiomyopathy
Theodore Chow, MD, FACC*,
Dean J. Kereiakes, MD, FACC*,
Cheryl Bartone, RN*,
Terri Booth, RN*,
Edward J. Schloss, MD, FACC*,
Theodore Waller, MD, FACC*,
Eugene S. Chung, MD*,
Santosh Menon, MD*,
Brahmajee K. Nallamothu, MD, MPH and
Paul S. Chan, MD, MSc ,*
* The Lindner Clinical Trial Center at the Christ Hospital and the Ohio Heart & Vascular Center, Cincinnati, Ohio
VA Health Services Research & Development and University of Michigan Medical School, Ann Arbor, Michigan.
Manuscript received August 16, 2005;
revised manuscript received October 25, 2005,
accepted November 1, 2005.
* Reprint requests and correspondence: Dr. Paul S. Chan, Cardiology (111-A), VA Ann Arbor Healthcare System, 2215 Fuller Road, Ann Arbor, Michigan 48105. (Email: paulchan{at}umich.edu).
OBJECTIVES: The purpose of this study was to assess if microvolt T-wave alternans (MTWA) is an independent predictor of mortality in patients with ischemic cardiomyopathy.
BACKGROUND: Microvolt T-wave alternans has been proposed as an effective tool for identifying high-risk patients with ischemic cardiomyopathy who are likely to benefit from implantable cardioverter-defibrillator (ICD) therapy. However, earlier studies have been limited in their ability to control for baseline differences between MTWA-negative and -non-negative (positive and indeterminate) patients.
METHODS: We enrolled 768 consecutive patients with ischemic cardiomyopathy (left ventricular ejection fraction 35%) and no prior history of ventricular arrhythmia. All patients underwent baseline MTWA testing and were classified as MTWA negative or non-negative. Multivariable Cox regression analyses, stratified by ICD status, were used to determine the association between MTWA testing and mortality after adjusting for demographic, clinical, and treatment differences between MTWA-negative and -non-negative patients.
RESULTS: We identified 514 (67%) patients with a non-negative MTWA test. After multivariable adjustment, a non-negative MTWA test was associated with a significantly higher risk for all-cause (stratified hazard ratio [HR] = 2.24 [95% confidence interval 1.34 to 3.75]; p = 0.002) and arrhythmic mortality (stratified HR = 2.29 [1.00 to 5.24]; p = 0.049) but not for nonarrhythmic mortality (stratified HR = 1.77 [0.84 to 3.74]; p = 0.13). In subgroup analyses, a non-negative MTWA test was also associated with a higher risk for all-cause mortality in patients with ejection fractions 30% (stratified HR = 2.10 [1.18 to 3.73]; p = 0.01) and after excluding those with indeterminate MTWA tests (stratified HR = 2.08 [1.18 to 3.66]; p = 0.01).
CONCLUSIONS: Microvolt T-wave alternans is a strong and independent predictor of all-cause and arrhythmic mortality in patients with ischemic cardiomyopathy.
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Abbreviations and Acronyms
| | CI = confidence interval | | HR = hazard ratio | | ICD = implantable cardioverter-defibrillator | | LVEF = left ventricular ejection fraction | | MADIT-II = second Multicenter Automatic Defibrillator Implantation Trial | | MTWA = microvolt T-wave alternans | | SCD = sudden cardiac death | | SCD-HeFT = Sudden Cardiac Death in Heart Failure Trial |
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