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J Am Coll Cardiol, 2007; 49:1362-1368, doi:10.1016/j.jacc.2007.02.027
(Published online 8 March 2007). © 2007 by the American College of Cardiology Foundation |








* Department of Medicine, Emory University School of Medicine, Atlanta, Georgia
** Fuqua Heart Center, Atlanta, Georgia
Department of Medicine, New York University School of Medicine, New York, New York
Department of Medicine, Columbia University Medical Center and the Cardiovascular Research Foundation, New York, New York
Department of Medicine, University of California Los Angeles, Los Angeles, California
|| Service des Maladies du C
ur et des Vaisseaux, Centre Hospitalier Universitaire de Caen, Caen, France
¶ Department of Cardiovascular Medicine, Cleveland Clinic Foundation, Cleveland, Ohio
# Green Lane Cardiovascular Service, Auckland City Hospital, Auckland, New Zealand

Department of Medicine, Duke University School of Medicine, Durham, North Carolina.
Manuscript received February 10, 2007; revised manuscript received February 26, 2007, accepted February 26, 2007.
* Reprint requests and correspondence: Dr. Steven V. Manoukian, Emory University School of Medicine, Emory Crawford Long Hospital, 550 Peachtree Street, MOT, 6th Floor, Cardiology, Atlanta, Georgia 30308. (Email: steven.manoukian{at}emory.edu).
| Abstract |
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Background: Whether major bleeding independently predicts mortality in patients with ACS undergoing an early invasive strategy is undefined.
Methods: Patients (n = 13,819) with moderate- and high-risk ACS were randomized to heparin (unfractionated or enoxaparin) plus glycoprotein IIb/IIIa inhibition (GPI), bivalirudin plus GPI, or bivalirudin monotherapy (plus provisional GPI). Logistic regression was used to determine predictors of 30-day major bleeding and mortality.
Results: Major bleeding rates in patients treated with heparin plus GPI were higher versus bivalirudin monotherapy (5.7% vs. 3.0%, p < 0.001) and similar versus bivalirudin plus GPI (5.7% vs. 5.3%, p = 0.38). Independent predictors of major bleeding were advanced age, female gender, diabetes, hypertension, renal insufficiency, anemia, no prior percutaneous coronary intervention, cardiac biomarker elevation, ST-segment deviation
1 mm, and treatment with heparin plus GPI versus bivalirudin monotherapy. Patients with major bleeding had higher 30-day rates of mortality (7.3% vs. 1.2%, p < 0.0001), composite ischemia (23.1% vs. 6.8%, p < 0.0001), and stent thrombosis (3.4% vs. 0.6%, p < 0.0001) versus those without major bleeding. Major bleeding was an independent predictor of 30-day mortality (odds ratio 7.55, 95% confidence interval 4.68 to 12.18, p < 0.0001).
Conclusions: Major bleeding is a powerful independent predictor of 30-day mortality in patients with ACS managed invasively. Several factors independently predict major bleeding, including treatment with heparin plus GPI compared with bivalirudin monotherapy. Knowledge of these findings might be useful to reduce bleeding risk and improve outcomes in ACS.
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Bivalirudin has demonstrated anti-ischemic efficacy and favorable bleeding complication rates in percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) and ACS (6,7). In the REPLACE (Randomized Evaluation of PCI Linking Angiomax to Reduced Clinical Events)-2 trial, bivalirudin (plus provisional glycoprotein IIb/IIIa inhibition [GPI]) was noninferior to unfractionated heparin plus planned GPI in suppressing ischemic events, while markedly reducing bleeding (6). In the ACUITY (Acute Catheterization and Urgent Intervention Triage strategY) trial, bivalirudin (plus provisional GPI) resulted in similar 30-day composite ischemic event rates, less bleeding, and superior net clinical outcomes, compared with heparin (unfractionated or enoxaparin) plus GPI in ACS (7).
This analysis examines the predictors of major bleeding and its impact on 30-day outcomes, including mortality, in the ACUITY trial.
| Methods |
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72 h, with triage to PCI, coronary artery bypass graft surgery (CABG), or medical management. Aspirin (300 to 325 mg orally or 250 to 500 mg intravenously) was administered daily during hospital stays. Thienopyridine dosing and timing were left to investigator discretion; however, the protocol required a clopidogrel loading dose of
300 mg
2 h after PCI, and 75 mg daily was recommended for 1 year in coronary artery disease patients. The institutional review or ethics board at each center approved the study, and patients signed written, informed consent.
End points and statistical methods.
The ACUITY study was powered for 3 primary 30-day end points: composite ischemia, major bleeding (not CABG-related), and net clinical outcomes. A blinded clinical events committee adjudicated all primary and secondary end points. Major bleeding (not CABG-related) was defined as: intracranial or intraocular; access site bleeding requiring intervention;
5-cm diameter hematoma; hemoglobin reduction of
4 g/dl without or
3 g/dl with an overt source; reoperation for bleeding; or blood product transfusion. All analyses are intention to treat. Chi-square test was used for categorical variables, unless the observation in any cell was <5, in which the Fisher exact test was used. Continuous variables were tested with the Wilcoxon rank sum test. Medians and interquartile ranges are presented for continuous variables. Time-to-event distributions are displayed according to the Kaplan-Meier method and compared with log-rank test. The p values are given for informational purposes and no multiplicity adjustment was done. Predictors of major bleeding and 30-day mortality were identified with logistic regression analyses. Potential predictors were selected with stepwise, forward, and backward procedures. For each procedure, a prediction factor entered into the model with p
0.20 and retained with p
0.10. The final model includes all predictors selected by at least 1 of the procedures. The p values, odds ratios (ORs), and corresponding 2-sided 95% confidence interval (CI) for predictors are presented. Statistical analyses were performed by SAS version 8.2 (SAS Institute Inc., Cary, North Carolina).
| Results |
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1 mm. Compared with the group without major bleeding, the treatment strategy of patients in the major bleeding group was more commonly PCI and less commonly CABG or medical therapy (Table 1).
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75 years, female gender, anemia, renal insufficiency, diabetes, hypertension, no prior PCI, ST-segment deviation
1 mm, and cardiac biomarker elevation (Fig. 1). Treatment with heparin plus GPI versus bivalirudin monotherapy also independently predicted major bleeding.
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75 years, left ventricular ejection fraction
50%, prior stroke, ST-segment deviation
1 mm, cardiac biomarker elevation, treatment strategy of CABG (vs. PCI), and myocardial infarction (MI) (Fig. 3).
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| Discussion |
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Bleeding complications continue to occur frequently in ACS, although rates of bleeding in clinical trials might vary widely. The current analysis is consistent with the GRACE (Global Registry of Acute Coronary Events) (8), which reported major bleeding in 3.9% of 24,045 patients, and the meta-analysis by Eikelboom et al. (5), which reported major bleeding in 2.3% of 34,146 patients.
We identified several independent predictors of major bleeding, including advanced age, female gender, diabetes, hypertension, renal insufficiency, anemia, cardiac biomarker elevation, and ST-segment deviation. These readily identifiable factors are useful in assessing bleeding risk on presentation, before initiating antithrombotic therapy. Our findings are consistent with the GRACE registry, which reported that factors including advanced age, renal insufficiency, history of bleeding, GPI, and PCI independently predicted major bleeding in unstable angina. Furthermore, GRACE found higher rates of major bleeding in nonST-segment elevation MI (4.7%) compared with unstable angina (2.3%) (8). Our analysis confirmed these findings by revealing that baseline cardiac biomarker elevation and ST-segment deviation were independent predictors of both major bleeding and mortality, suggesting that patients with increased ischemic risk might also have increased bleeding risk.
Mortality at 30 days was >6-fold higher among patients with major bleeding. Major bleeding was the strongest independent predictor of mortality, even more so than MI. This underscores the adverse impact of major bleeding on early mortality and extends the findings from Eikelboom et al. (5), who reported that major bleeding was independently associated with early mortality in patients predominantly treated with a conservative strategy (hazard ratio 5.37, 95% CI 3.97 to 7.27, p < 0.0001). In addition, our analysis revealed that 30-day ischemic event rates were >3-fold higher with major bleeding, occurring in nearly 25% of patients. Rates of MI, unplanned revascularization for ischemia, and notably, stent thrombosis were all significantly higher with major bleeding.
Several hypotheses might underlie the association between bleeding and mortality. First, bleeding often necessitates the discontinuation and/or reversal of antithrombotic therapy, which might result in ischemia, hemodynamic decompensation, arrhythmias, stent thrombosis, MI, unplanned revascularization, or death (9). Supporting this possibility is our finding of a nearly 6-fold higher rate of stent thrombosis in patients with major bleeding. Second, bleeding with hypovolemia, anemia, and impaired oxygen carrying capacity might precipitate tachycardia, hypotension, and congestive heart failure. Third, blood product transfusions have been associated with adverse outcomes. In a meta-analysis of 24,112 patients by Rao et al. (10), transfusion was associated with an increased hazard for 30-day death (adjusted hazard ratio 3.94, 95% CI 3.26 to 4.75, p < 0.001). Next, anemia also independently predicted major bleeding in our analysis, and the mechanisms for this increase in adverse outcomes might include transfusion and associated risks, the bleeding complication, and the etiology of the anemia (11). Lastly, patients with bleeding complications have a more prolonged, complex, and costly hospital stay and might require invasive monitoring, intra-aortic balloon counterpulsation, intubation, endoscopy, anesthesia, and surgical procedures, all of which might increase the likelihood of adverse outcomes, including death.
In the ACUITY trial, bivalirudin monotherapy (with 9.1% provisional GPI use) was associated with significantly lower rates of major bleeding and similar rates of ischemic events (7) compared with combination therapy with heparin plus GPI. These results mirror the REPLACE-2 PCI trial (6). Collectively, these 2 trials of nearly 20,000 patients confirm that the use of bivalirudin, compared with heparin plus GPI, is associated with a significant reduction in the risk of bleeding complications, while maintaining efficacy in reducing ischemic events. Importantly, in the ACUITY trial, major bleeding, as defined by the study protocol, was strongly and independently predictive of subsequent mortality, validating this definition as clinically relevant.
Limitations of the ACUITY trial have been described (7). The current analysis was not prespecified in the original trial. In addition, multivariable analysis might not adequately account for all relevant factors. This analysis reports 30-day results, and 1-year data might provide additional information. However, given the consistency of these results with previous data and the large size of the population, these data add significantly to the understanding of the adverse association between bleeding and outcomes.
| Conclusions |
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| Acknowledgments |
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| Footnotes |
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| References |
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