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J Am Coll Cardiol, 2006; 48:2448-2457, doi:10.1016/j.jacc.2006.07.069
(Published online 28 November 2006). © 2006 by the American College of Cardiology Foundation |
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* Methodist DeBakey Heart Center, Department of Cardiology, The Methodist Hospital, Houston, Texas
Cedars-Sinai Medical Center, Los Angeles, California
University of Calgary, Calgary, Alberta, Canada
American University of Beirut, Beirut, Lebanon
|| Cardiovascular Associates of East Texas, Tyler, Texas
¶ University of Ottawa Heart Institute, Ottawa, Ontario, Canada
# Mount Sinai Medical Center, New York, New York
** National Heart Centre, Singapore, Singapore

Al-Azhar University, Cairo, Egypt

University of Texas School of Public Health, Houston, Texas.
Manuscript received March 30, 2006; revised manuscript received July 5, 2006, accepted July 6, 2006.
* Reprint requests and correspondence: Dr. John J. Mahmarian, Department of Cardiology, Methodist DeBakey Heart Center, 6550 Fannin Street, SM-677, Houston, Texas 77030. (Email: jmahmarian{at}tmh.tmc.edu).
| Abstract |
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BACKGROUND: Controversy continues as to the role of noninvasive stress imaging in stratifying risk early after AMI.
METHODS: The INSPIRE (Adenosine Sestamibi Post-Infarction Evaluation) trial is a prospective multicenter trial which enrolled 728 clinically stable survivors of AMI who had gated ADSPECT within 10 days of hospital admission and subsequent 1-year follow-up. Event rates were assessed within prospectively defined INSPIRE risk groups based on the adenosine-induced left ventricular perfusion defect size, extent of ischemia, and ejection fraction.
RESULTS: Total cardiac events/death and reinfarction significantly increased within each INSPIRE risk group from low (5.4%, 1.8%), to intermediate (14%, 9.2%), to high (18.6%, 11.6%) (p < 0.01). Event rates at 1 year were lowest in patients with the smallest perfusion defects but progressively increased when defect size exceeded 20% (p < 0.0001). The perfusion results significantly improved risk stratification beyond that provided by clinical and ejection fraction variables. The low-risk INSPIRE group, comprising one-third of all enrolled patients, had a shorter hospital stay with lower associated costs compared with the higher-risk groups (p < 0.001).
CONCLUSIONS: Gated ADSPECT performed early after AMI can accurately identify a sizeable low-risk group who have a <2% death and reinfarction rate at 1 year. Identifying these low-risk patients for early hospital discharge may improve utilization of health care resources at considerable cost savings.
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| Methods |
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18 years of age who had either Q- or nonQ-wave AMI and were prospectively enrolled at 16 sites over 36 months (December 1999 through December 2002) with a subsequent 1-year follow-up (6). Study entry criteria are shown in Table 1.
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INSPIRE risk groups.
Patient risk and subsequent therapeutic decision making were prospectively defined by specific ADSPECT variables (4,5) (Fig. 2). Patients with a small (<20%) PDS were classified as low risk and most had a left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) of
35% (96%) and an ischemic PDS of <10% (97%). This group was discouraged from having coronary angiography unless they developed clinical instability (6). Infarct-free survival at 1 year was anticipated to be >95%, so ADSPECT results were used to expedite hospital discharge (4,5).
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20%) but primarily nonischemic (<10%) defects were defined as intermediate risk and had catheterization and coronary revascularization (CR) at investigator discretion (5,6). It was anticipated that most would not have CR, because CR does not improve survival over medical therapy in patients without ischemic (9) or viable (10) myocardium.
Patients with large total (
20%) and ischemic (
10%) defects and an LVEF of <35% were defined as high risk and encouraged to have coronary angiography, whereas those with an LVEF
35% were randomized to receive either intensive medical therapy or CR (6). The results from the randomized arm of the INSPIRE study are reported elsewhere (11). Additional therapeutic considerations are listed in Table 2.
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Statistical analysis. The general statistical and cost analysis plans are published (6). Baseline clinical and ADSPECT differences between INSPIRE risk groups were determined using nonparametric methods with chi-squared analysis used to compare all discrete variables except TIMI risk score, where a Spearman correlation was used. Comparisons of continuous measures across INSPIRE risk groups were performed using analysis of variance techniques. Baseline clinical and scintigraphic data are presented as frequency (%) or mean ± standard deviation.
The primary end point was time to first cardiac event with a secondary end point of time to cardiac death/reinfarction (6). The trial had >80% power with a 2-sided type I error of 0.05 to detect differences between INSPIRE risk groups. Risk-adjusted multiple variable Cox proportional hazards modeling estimated the effect of baseline variables on primary and secondary end points. In each case, the proportional hazards assumption was met. The TIMI risk score for ST-segment elevation AMI was selected for comparison with ADSPECT, because it is a well-accepted clinical instrument used to predict outcome in patients who receive thrombolytics (12) and in more heterogeneous AMI populations (13). The TIMI risk score for ACS was not used, because it was derived primarily from patients without AMI (14).
Survival curves compared differences in overall and infarct-free survival among TIMI and INSPIRE risk groups. Other baseline variables assessed by univariate analysis are those in Table 3 (6). Survival curves were also generated based on total and ischemic LVPDS, LVEF, and LV volumes. Unadjusted relative risk ratios were calculated for scintigraphic variables followed by risk-adjusted estimates of cardiac events controlling for the TIMI risk score and LVEF. A final multivariable model included PDS, LVEF, and TIMI risk score. Chi-squared statistic compared a TIMI risk model to one of TIMI risk and LVEF; TIMI risk, LVEF and total PDS; and TIMI risk and all 3 variables.
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Cost analysis. Six U.S. sites participated in the cost substudy, and each patient allowed access to their hospital bills. Blinded summary charge reports for the index hospitalization were obtained from each hospitals finance office and sent to the coordinating center. Total charges were adjusted, using a top-down approach, by multiplying total hospital charges by the hospital-specific cost-charge ratio. This estimated hospital cost was then discounted at a 5% annual rate and inflation-corrected by the U.S. medical service sector estimate of the consumer price index. Cost estimates were available for 205 INSPIRE patients and compared across INSPIRE risk groups using ANOVA or GLM. Nonparametric statistics were used owing to the nonlinearity of cost data, but in every case this analysis was similar to the ANOVA or GLM results.
Total hospital length of stay and time spent in intensive care units were available for all patients. These surrogates for resource intensity and infarct severity were compared across INSPIRE risk groups using GLM techniques adjusting for baseline TIMI risk score.
| Results |
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Cardiac events. Over a mean follow-up of 11 ± 3 months, 95 events occurred in 88 patients (12.1%) as follows: cardiac death, sudden (n = 10) or nonsudden (n = 8); nonfatal reinfarction (n = 34); and readmission for ACS (n = 24) or congestive heart failure (n = 12). Patient follow-up was complete at 1 year in 98%. No adenosine- or other procedure-related events occurred.
Coronary angiography, CR, and events. Few low-risk patients had initial or late invasive procedures (Table 4). In the intermediate-risk group, coronary angiography and CR were performed in 31% and 17% of patients by 1 month, which minimally increased by 1 year. Most high-risk patients had coronary angiography and subsequent CR, generally early after AMI. Coronary revascularization significantly lowered event rates in only the high-risk group (Table 4).
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Outcome based on INSPIRE risk group. Overall cardiac (p = 0.007) (Fig. 3A) and death/reinfarction (p = 0.009) (Fig. 3B) event rates significantly increased across INSPIRE risk groups from low (5.4% and 1.8%) to intermediate (14.0% and 9.2%) to high (18.6 and 11.6%), respectively. These differences were observed despite a high initial rate of CR (50%) in the high-risk group. After adjustment for the TIMI risk score, INSPIRE risk categories still predicted total (p = 0.01) and death/reinfarction (p = 0.02) events.
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50% predicted a low 1-year event rate (5%), which increased to 27% in the 3% of patients with an LVEF <20%. Left ventricular end-diastolic and end-systolic volumes also predicted events (Tables 5A and 5B) but not after adjustment for LVEF (Table 5C). This is explained by the strong inverse relationship between LVEF and end-diastolic (r = 0.76; p < 0.001) and end-systolic (r = 0.91; p < 0.001) volumes.
Incremental prognostic value of ADSPECT variables beyond TIMI risk score. The INSPIRE risk assessment significantly increased the baseline TIMI risk score global chi-square statistic from 4.7 to 16.5 (total events) and from 4.2 to 15.7 (death/reinfarction) (both p < 0.001).
The addition of total and ischemic PDS to the combined TIMI risk score and LVEF significantly improved the model for predicting all events, but only total PDS added to the risk model for predicting death/reinfarction (Fig. 5). The global chi-square also significantly increased when PDS was added first to the TIMI risk score before LVEF (p < 0.001).
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| Discussion |
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Study design features. The refinements in risk stratification we report are attributable to several unique study design features incorporated in the INSPIRE trial: 1) the imaging protocol used a nitrate-enhanced rest followed by an ADSPECT stress study to optimize image quality and allow accurate quantification of myocardial ischemia and LVEF; 2) online quantitative SPECT analysis through a central core laboratory provided uniform image interpretation; 3) domestic and international investigators were enlisted to ensure enrollment of a large and diverse patient population; 4) the protocol encouraged adherence to specific and currently accepted medical and interventional therapeutic strategies; 5) patient risk was prospectively defined by ADSPECT within days of admission and then verified by a 1-year outcome analysis; and 6) the value of ADSPECT for predicting outcome was analyzed in relation to the TIMI risk score.
ADSPECT for assessing risk and guiding therapeutics. The cornerstone of risk stratification in stable AMI survivors is to rapidly identify high-risk patients who might benefit from CR and low-risk patients for whom medical therapy and early hospital discharge is appropriate. The INSPIRE study achieved this goal by using perfusion imaging to stratify a heterogeneous post-AMI population into several distinct risk categories.
The most clinically relevant primary observation is that ADSPECT can accurately identify a large low-risk population irrespective of age, gender, site of infarction, or clinical risk. This low-risk group, which represented one-third of all enrolled patients, had small (<20%) perfusion defects, preserved LV function, and minimal (<10%) residual ischemia. Previous studies in patients with chronic coronary artery disease or prior AMI have suggested that CR does not improve outcome beyond medical therapy when there is minimal (<10%) (9) or no (17) provokable ischemia. In support of this, our low-risk group had the lowest rate of CR, the shortest hospital stay, the lowest hospital-related costs, and yet the lowest (1.8%) cumulative death and reinfarction rate at 1 year. In most centers these low-risk patients would typically have undergone coronary angiography followed by percutaneous coronary intervention of any residual coronary stenosis. However, the INSPIRE trial demonstrates that such patients can be medically managed with a quite acceptable low overall event rate and, compared with invasive treatment, at a cost savings approaching 65% (18).
The prospectively defined intermediate-risk group represented an additional 29% of patients who would unlikely benefit from an initial invasive approach and for whom hospital costs could be reduced up to 25% (18). Although this group was anticipated to have a higher event rate than the low-risk group based on their larger total PDS and more severe LV dysfunction (4,5), they had only minimal residual ischemic myocardium to revascularize. It is not surprising that CR did not alter event rates in this group.
The prospectively defined high-risk INSPIRE group had the longest hospital stay, the highest rate of CR, and the highest hospital-related costs but represented only 9% of patients. Patients in this group had the highest 1-year overall event rate (18%), particularly when not revascularized. Other trials also suggest that patients with extensive ischemic viable myocardium and a low LVEF benefit most from CR (10). The cost analysis from the INSPIRE trial highlights the substantial increase in hospital expenses attributable to coronary interventional procedures. Gated ADSPECT can specifically identify high-risk ischemic patients so as to properly allocate health care resources.
Previous studies. Previous smaller or retrospective observational studies suggest that low- and high-risk groups can be identified using exercise (1921) or pharmacologic stressor agents (35) when combined with perfusion scintigraphy. The Veterans Affairs NonQ-Wave Infarction Strategies in Hospital trial successfully used planar imaging to risk-stratify patients following nonQ-wave AMI (15,22). The Invasive Versus Conservative Treatment in Unstable Coronary Syndromes trial recently showed that patients with nonQ-wave AMI have a similar outcome whether initially evaluated with an invasive or a conservative approach (23).
In contrast, the FRISC-II (Fragmin and Fast Revascularization During Instability in CAD) (2) and TACTICS (Treat Angina With Aggrastat and Determine Cost of Therapy With Invasive or Conservative Strategy) (1) studies reported superiority of a routine invasive approach over a noninvasive strategy of ETT and selective angiography in patients with ACS. Both are particularly germane to the INSPIRE trial in that they have strongly influenced current practice guidelines; and, within the cardiology community, have expanded the existing widespread use of an invasive approach to now include patients with AMI. These trials chose ETT as the noninvasive testing standarda suboptimal technique for detecting ischemia (20,21) or predicting risk compared with perfusion imaging (3,20). Furthermore, in the TACTICS study
40% of all cardiac events occurred in the conservative strategy before the index stress test. The clinical benefit of an early invasive approach in the TACTICS study was based solely on event rate differences within this early critical time period; patient outcome in both groups was comparable beyond 30 days. The TIMI experience in 20,101 patients emphasizes that reinfarction after thrombolytic therapy occurs generally within 3 days of admission (16). Because events recur early after AMI, a "watchful waiting" approach is not clinically acceptable but generally unavoidable when ETT is selected as the stressor modality. By using adenosine in the INSPIRE trial, 54% of patients were imaged safely within 2 days of admission, facilitating very early identification and treatment of high-risk patients.
Study limitations. We did not track the percentage of eligible patients who were enrolled in the INSPIRE trial. However, based on previous trials, up to 70% of AMI patients are clinically stable and would be good candidates for initial evaluation with ADSPECT (24,25). The TIMI risk score for ST-segment elevation AMI may not be entirely applicable to our population, because not all had ST-segment elevation even though all patients had AMI. Finally, although routine surveillance with cardiac enzymes was not performed after invasive procedures to identify subclinical AMI, it is unlikely that ADSPECT would have predicted such procedure-related events.
Conclusions. Gated ADSPECT is a safe and accurate initial method for identifying: 1) a very large low-risk group after AMI who can be targeted for medical therapy and early hospital discharge; 2) patients with predominantly scar where initial medical treatment is appropriate; and 3) those with extensive ischemia where intensive medical and/or interventional therapy is warranted. This is a cost-efficient paradigm already embraced in clinical practice for evaluating risk and guiding therapeutic decision making in patients with suspected or known CAD (26). The findings from the INSPIRE trial provide justification for recommending that ADSPECT be incorporated within current practice guidelines as an appropriate initial strategy for risk-stratifying stable survivors of ST-segment elevation AMI who do not undergo primary PCI and the emerging larger group of patients with nonST-segment elevation AMI.
| Acknowledgments |
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| Footnotes |
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1 Dr. Mahmarian is on the Advisory Board for CV Therapeutics and Astellas Pharma US. ![]()
2 Dr. Shaw has received research grants for the END and COURAGE trials ![]()
3 Dr. Filipchuk received research grants for the DIAD, CCORD, and AMISCAN studies ![]()
4 Drs. Iskander and Henzlova are on the Speakers Bureau for Bristol-Myers Squibb. ![]()
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