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J Am Coll Cardiol, 2006; 47:1811-1817, doi:10.1016/j.jacc.2005.12.048
(Published online 11 April 2006). © 2006 by the American College of Cardiology Foundation |



* Cardiology Unit, Department of Medicine, University of Rochester Medical Center, Rochester, New York
Department of Biostatistics and Computational Biology, University of Rochester Medical Center, Rochester, New York
Cardiovascular Institute, Loyola University Medical Center, Maywood, Illinois
Division of Cardiology, University Hospital, Magdeburg, Germany
Manuscript received September 6, 2005; revised manuscript received December 5, 2005, accepted December 13, 2005.
* Reprint requests and correspondence: Dr. Ilan Goldenberg, Heart Research Follow-Up Program, Box 653, University of Rochester Medical Center, Rochester, New York 14642 (Email: ilan.goldenberg{at}heart.rochester.edu).
| Abstract |
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BACKGROUND: The ICD improves survival in appropriately selected high-risk cardiac patients by 30% to 54%. However, in the Coronary Artery Bypass Graft (CABG)-Patch trial no evidence of improved survival was shown among a similar population of patients in whom an ICD was implanted prophylactically at the time of elective CABG.
METHODS: The outcome by time from CR was analyzed in 951 patients in whom a revascularization procedure was performed before enrollment in the Multicenter Automatic Defibrillator Implantation Trial (MADIT)-II.
RESULTS: The adjusted hazard ratio (HR) of ICD versus conventional therapy was 0.64 (p = 0.01) among patients enrolled more than six months after CR, whereas no survival benefit with ICD therapy was shown among patients enrolled six months or earlier after CR (HR = 1.19; p = 0.76). In the conventional therapy group, the risk of cardiac death increased significantly with increasing time from CR (p for trend = 0.009), corresponding mainly to a six-fold increase in the risk of SCD among patients enrolled more than six months after CR.
CONCLUSIONS: In patients with ischemic left ventricular dysfunction, the efficacy of ICD therapy after CR is time dependent, with a significant life-saving benefit in patients receiving device implantation more than six months after CR. The lack of ICD benefit when implanted early after CR may be related to a relatively low risk of SCD during this time period.
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The present study was performed to evaluate the effect of elapsed time from CR on ICD benefit and the risk of SCD in high-risk CHD patients enrolled in the Multicenter Automatic Defibrillator Implantation Trial (MADIT)-II.
| Methods |
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30% were randomized to receive a prophylactic ICD or conventional medical therapy in a 3:2 ratio. Screened patients were excluded from enrollment if they had class IV congestive heart failure, CR within the previous three months, elapsed interval from most recent myocardial infarction of <1 month, or advanced medical comorbidity. After a mean follow-up of 20 months, the study was terminated by the Data Safety and Monitoring Board. Unadjusted mortality was 19.8% in the conventional therapy group and 14.2% in the ICD group, and the overall hazard ratio (HR) was 0.69 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.51 to 0.93). Nine hundred fifty-one patients who had CABG and/or percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) before enrollment were included in the current analysis (time from last CR: mean 64.44 ± 58.22 months, median 48.89 months, interquartile range 82.50 months); 580 of the patients who had undergone CR were allocated to the ICD group, and 371 were allocated to the conventional therapy group. In 12 patients CR was performed three months or less before enrollment owing to authorized protocol deviations. Time-dependence of mortality and ICD benefit was examined by dividing times from most recent CR procedure to enrollment into an early post-CR period (6 months or less); an intermediate post-CR period (6 to 60 months); and a late post CR period (more than 60 months). Those time frames were chosen based upon current knowledge of the natural history of coronary artery disease progression after CR (9,10). Accordingly, during the early period there is little progression in graft disease (9), and the process of restenosis after coronary stenting is usually complete, with little progression thereafter (10); during the intermediate period new stenoses develop in graft conduits and/or native vessels, but most (80%) of the post-CABG patients are free from angina (9); and during the late period there is accelerated graft stenosis and/or degeneration and progression of native coronary artery disease (9).
A modified Hinkle-Thaler system was used to classify deaths, as described previously (7).
Statistical analysis. Baseline characteristics of the patients within the post-CR subgroups were compared and contrasted using the chi-square test and Fisher exact test, as appropriate. Significant variables affecting outcome were incorporated into a Cox proportional-hazards regression model to determine covariate-adjusted hazard ratios for: 1) ICD benefit by time from CR; and 2) the mode of death by time from CR in conventionally treated patients. Kaplan-Meier estimates of all-cause mortality by treatment group, stratified according to time from CR, were estimated and graphically displayed according to the method of Kaplan and Meier, with comparison of cumulative events by the log-rank test. Analyses were performed with the use of SAS software (version 9.13, SAS Institute, Cary, North Carolina), and a two-sided probability value of <0.05 was used for declaring statistical significance.
| Results |
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6 months before enrollment in the study (early: mean ± SD 4 ± 1 months, median 4 months, interquartile range 3 to 5 months), 414 patients within 6 to 60 months (intermediate: mean ± SD 30 ± 16 months, median 27 months, interquartile range 15 to 44 months), and 404 patients >60 months (late: mean ± SD 119 ± 48 months, median 107 months, interquartile range 81 to 147 months). Seventy-four percent of the patients who underwent CR had CABG at any time in their past, 57% had PCI, and both procedures were performed in 31% of patients. Baseline characteristics of study patients in the post-CR subgroups are shown in Table 1. Compared with the early and intermediate post-CR subgroups, the late post-CR subgroup had a higher proportion of older patients (
65 years), a lower frequency of female patients, and a higher proportion of patients who had CABG as their last CR procedure before enrollment. The proportion of patients with diabetes mellitus, a low ejection fraction (<25%), and electrocardiographic abnormalities, including left bundle branch block and a QRS duration of >0.12 s, increased with increasing time after CR, whereas medical therapy with beta-blockers was administered less frequently with increasing time after CR. There were no significant differences between the conventional and ICD treatment groups with regard to baseline clinical characteristics within the post-CR subgroups (data not shown).
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6 months and >6 months post-CR periods was observed when the efficacy of ICD for reducing SCD risk was analyzed (p value for treatment-time interaction = 0.16). Kaplan-Meier estimates of the cumulative probability of SCD 1 and 2 years after enrollment demonstrated very low, and similar, SCD rates in the ICD and conventional therapy groups among patients in whom CR was performed
6 months before enrollment (Fig. 3A). The rate of SCD was increased in patients in whom CR was performed after this time period in the two treatment groups; and one- and two-year rates of SCD were significantly lower in the ICD group than in the conventional therapy group in patients who enrolled in the intermediate (Fig. 3B) and late (Fig. 3C) post-CR periods.
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6 months before enrollment and with improved survival in ICD-allocated patients in whom the procedure was performed >6 months before enrollment (Table 3).
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6 months after CR (p for trend = 0.07), whereas the risk of non-SCD was not significantly different among the three post-CR subgroups (p for trend = 0.56). Although the number of deaths was small, the proportion of sudden cardiac deaths to total deaths was 17% among patients enrolled during the early post-CR period and 60% among patients enrolled after this time period (p = 0.04) (Fig 4).
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| Discussion |
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Myocardial ischemia has been suggested to be an important trigger for development of ventricular tachyarrhythmias (11). Therefore, CR may attenuate subsequent SCD risk. The Coronary Artery Surgery Study (12) and European Coronary Surgery Study (13) demonstrated reductions in SCD with surgical revascularization versus medical therapy in a population of patients with normal, or mildly reduced, left ventricular function. A subsequent analysis of the Studies of Left Ventricular Dysfunction trials (14) showed that in patients with an ejection fraction of
35%, prior CABG was independently associated with a significant 25% reduction in risk of death and a 46% reduction in risk of SCD. This study, however, did not analyze the effect of elapsed time from CR on mortality risk. We have shown, in a similar population of patients with left ventricular dysfunction, that risk reduction conferred by CR was confined mainly to the early (six months or less) post-CR period.
Our findings are consistent with those of the CABG-Patch trial, in which no evidence of improved survival was shown among patients with CHD, a depressed left ventricular ejection fraction, and an abnormal signal-averaged electrocardiogram in whom an ICD was implanted prophylactically at the time of CABG (8). Notably, the hazard ratio for ICD benefit in the CABG-Patch trial (1.07; p = 0.64) was very similar to that demonstrated among patients in whom the ICD was implanted during the early post-CR period in the MADIT-II study (1.19; p = 0.76). Further analysis of the CABG-Patch trial, revealed that most of the deaths (71%) in the study were nonarrhythmic in nature (15). In the current study, we have similarly shown that the mode of death among patients enrolled during the early post-CR period was dominated by nonarrhythmic mortality (83%), whereas after this early time period the proportion of deaths that were nonsudden in nature was reduced to 40%. Thus, it appears that both in MADIT-II study and the CABG-Patch trial, the lack of defibrillator benefit when implanted in proximity to a CR procedure, was related to the fact that most of deaths during this time period were nonarrhythmic in nature.
A previous analysis of the MADIT-II study (16) has demonstrated that a significant decrease in the risk of SCD with ICD therapy was apparent within one year after enrollment, whereas during this time period the rate of non-SCD was significantly higher in the ICD group than in the conventional therapy group, leading to an overall significant survival benefit with ICD therapy only after the first year of the trial. In the present study we have consistently shown that among patients enrolled more than six months after CR the rates of SCD were significantly lower in the ICD group than in the conventional therapy group within both one and two years after enrollment, leading to an overall survival benefit with ICD therapy at two years in patients who enrolled in the intermediate and late post-CR periods. In contrast, SCD rates in patients enrolled in the early post-CR period were similar in the two treatment arms throughout the study, leading to a neutral effect of ICD therapy on all-cause mortality at two years in this subgroup of patients.
Study limitations. Coronary revascularization was not a randomized event in the MADIT-II study; therefore, there were significant differences in the baseline characteristics among the post-CR subgroups. However, adjusting for those differences did not explain the differences in outcome among the post-CR subgroups.
Patients were excluded from enrollment in the MADIT-II study if their most recent CR procedure was performed within three months before enrollment (only 12 patients were included within this time period owing to authorized protocol deviations). Therefore, the current results do not include sufficient data on the immediate post-CR period in which an even lower risk of SCD may exist, corresponding to a further reduction in ICD benefit during this time period.
As compared with PCI, CABG provides a more complete revascularization of the coronary arteries. Therefore, the latter revascularization modality may afford better protection against arrhythmic mortality than the former. Data on the completeness of revascularization were not available in the current study. Thus, the effect of this important factor was not analyzed. The consistent trends among patients who underwent PCI as an isolated procedure suggest that recent revascularization, limited to the target vessel, may also reduce the risk of arrhythmic mortality.
Conclusions. We have shown that ICD therapy is associated with a significant survival benefit and reduction in SCD risk after CR. This life-saving benefit, however, is time dependent, and in the current analysis of the MADIT-II study, improved survival was apparent when the ICD was implanted more than six months after CR. Our findings suggest that the early post-CR period is dominated by nonarrhythmic mortality and may explain the lack of defibrillator benefit in the CABG-Patch trial. Further prospective studies are needed to delineate the optimal timing of device implantation after CR. At present, the relatively low risk of arrhythmic mortality during the early period after successful CR should be considered when planning ICD implantation for the primary prevention of SCD in CHD patients with advanced left ventricular dysfunction.
| Footnotes |
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