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J Am Coll Cardiol, 2004; 44:720-732, doi:10.1016/j.jacc.2004.07.001 © 2004 by the American College of Cardiology Foundation |
National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute, American College of Cardiology Foundation, and American Heart Association, USA
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Key Words: cholesterol trials lipoproteins coronary disease
| Disclosure information for the members of the working group that drafted the ATP III update is available on the NHLBI website (www.nhbli.nih.gov/guidelines/cholesterol/atp3upd04.htm).
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The Executive Summary of the Third Report of the National Cholesterol Education Program (NCEP) Expert Panel on Detection, Evaluation, and Treatment of High Blood Cholesterol in Adults (Adult Treatment Panel III [ATP III]) was published in May 2001 (1). The full report of ATP III was published in December 2002 (2). ATP III provides evidence-based recommendations on the management of high blood cholesterol and related disorders. For development of its recommendations, ATP III places primary emphasis on large, randomized, controlled clinical trials (RCTs). In the past decade, a series of large RCTs have yielded a vast body of data for these recommendations. Other lines of evidence, including prospective epidemiological studies and smaller clinical trials, afford additional evidence for crafting the recommendations.
All ATP reports have identified low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) as the primary target of cholesterol-lowering therapy. Many prospective studies have shown that high serum concentrations of LDL-C are a major risk factor for coronary heart disease (CHD). A large number of RCTs, moreover, have documented that lowering of LDL-C levels will reduce the risk for major coronary events. In ATP II (3), evidence for the benefit of LDL-lowering therapy was based on analysis and meta-analysis of RCTs that were carried out with therapies other than HMG CoA reductase inhibitors (statins). ATP III (1,2) reviewed new data from 5 large RCTs with statins. Results of several smaller RCTs with statins and other drugs also were examined. On the basis of accumulated evidence from epidemiological studies and RCTs, ATP III proposed a treatment algorithm for LDL-lowering therapy.
Since the publication of ATP III, 5 major clinical trials with statin therapy and clinical end points have been published. These include the Heart Protection Study (HPS) (4), the Prospective Study of Pravastatin in the Elderly at Risk (PROSPER) (5), Antihypertensive and Lipid-Lowering Treatment to Prevent Heart Attack TrialLipid-Lowering Trial (ALLHAT-LLT) (6), Anglo-Scandinavian Cardiac Outcomes TrialLipid-Lowering Arm (ASCOT-LLA) (7), and the Pravastatin or Atorvastatin Evaluation and InfectionThrombolysis in Myocardial Infarction 22 (PROVE ITTIMI 22) trial (8). These trials addressed issues that had not been adequately addressed in previous statin trials. The results appear to have important implications for the management of patients with lipid disorders, particularly for high-risk patients. They further may require some rethinking of the treatment thresholds of ATP III recommendations. In addition, findings of other smaller trials or subgroup analyses of major trials have been published. The purpose of the present document is to examine the results of all of these studies and to assess their implications in relation to the ATP III report. First, we will summarize the principal elements of the ATP III treatment algorithm and the major findings of the recent trials.
According to the ATP III algorithm, persons are categorized into 3 risk categories: (1) established CHD and CHD risk equivalents, (2) multiple (2+) risk factors, and (3) zero to one (01) risk factor. CHD risk equivalents include noncoronary forms of clinical atherosclerotic disease, diabetes, and multiple (2+) CHD risk factors with 10-year risk for CHD >20%. All persons with CHD or CHD risk equivalents can be called high risk. The goal for LDL-lowering therapy in high-risk patients is an LDL-C level <100 mg/dL. According to ATP III, for a baseline or on-treatment LDL-C <100 mg/dL, no further LDL-lowering therapy was recommended. For all high-risk patients with LDL-C levels
100 mg/dL, LDL-lowering dietary therapy should be initiated. When baseline LDL-C is
130 mg/dL, an LDL-lowering drug should be started simultaneously with dietary therapy. However, LDL-lowering drugs were not mandated if the baseline LDL-C level is in the range of 100 to 129 mg/dL; in this range, ATP III suggested several therapeutic options. Dietary therapy should be intensified, whereas adding or intensifying an LDL-lowering drug was said to be optional. Alternatively, if the patient has elevated triglycerides or low high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C), a drug that targets these abnormalities may be added.
Compared with ATP II (3), ATP III added new intensity to LDL-C lowering in patients with multiple (2+) CHD risk factors. Previous ATP guidelines established the LDL-C goal for this category to be a level <130 mg/dL. This goal was retained in ATP III, but risk assessment was expanded beyond the counting of risk factors. ATP III recommended that Framingham risk scoring be carried out in individuals with 2+ risk factors so as to triage them into 3 levels of 10-year risk for hard CHD events (myocardial infarction + CHD death): >20%, 10% to 20%, and <10%. Persons with a 10-year risk >20% were elevated to the high-risk category; for them, the LDL-C goal is <100 mg/dL. For others with 2+ risk factors and a 10-year risk
20%, the LDL-C goal is <130 mg/dL. LDL-lowering dietary therapy is universally advocated for patients with an LDL-C above the goal level. If the 10-year risk is 10% to 20%, drug therapy should be considered if the LDL-C level is above the goal level (ie,
130 mg/dL) after a trial of dietary therapy. When 10-year risk is <10%, an LDL-lowering drug can be considered if the LDL-C level is
160 mg/dL on maximal dietary therapy.
Finally, most persons with 0 to 1 risk factor have a 10-year risk <10%. For these individuals, clinical management and dietary therapy is recommended when the LDL-C level is
160 mg/dL. The goal is to lower LDL-C concentrations to <160 mg/dL. If the LDL-C is
190 mg/dL after an adequate trial of dietary therapy, consideration should be given to adding a cholesterol-lowering drug. When serum LDL-C ranges from 160 to 189 mg/dL, introduction of a cholesterol-lowering drug is a therapeutic option in appropriate circumstances, such as when a severe risk factor is present. ATP III outlines several factors that can be taken into consideration to guide clinical judgment for this category.
ATP III placed major emphasis on therapeutic lifestyle changes (TLC) as an essential modality in clinical management for persons at risk for cardiovascular disease (CVD). ATP III's TLC approach was designed to achieve risk reduction through both LDL-C lowering and metabolic syndrome management. Therefore, when the implications of recent LDL-lowering drug trials are considered, it must be reemphasized that the results do not in any way diminish the importance of lifestyle change for CVD risk reduction.
| Review of recent clinical trials with major cardiovascular end points |
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Serum lipids at baseline were determined on nonfasting samples. Levels of LDL-C were measured by the direct LDL method (9). Average lipid values at baseline were total cholesterol 228 mg/dL, triglycerides 186 mg/dL (nonfasting), HDL-C 41 mg/dL, non-HDL-C 187 mg/dL, and direct LDL-C 131 mg/dL. In most other clinical trials of cholesterol-lowering therapy, serum lipid levels have been determined on fasting samples, and LDL-C has been calculated by the Friedewald equation [LDL-C = total cholesterol HDL-C VLDL-C (triglycerides/5)], where VLDL indicates very-low-density lipoprotein (10). This calculation includes intermediate-density lipoprotein in the LDL fraction. If this equation were applied to the HPS values cited above, the average calculated LDL-C would be approximately 150 mg/dL [(22841(186/5)]. However, because the baseline samples were nonfasting, the triglyceride levels were likely to have been at least 20 to 30 mg/dL higher than fasting; consequently, applying the Friedewald equation to baseline levels would underestimate LDL-C by 4 to 6 mg/dL [(20 to 30 mg/dL)/5] because this much cholesterol was falsely attributed to VLDL-C. Consequently, estimations of baseline fasting LDL-C, if calculated by the Friedewald equation, likely would have been in the range of 150 to 155 mg/dL, or about 15% higher than baseline LDL-C calculated by the direct method. If this difference between direct and calculated LDL-C holds at low LDL-C, a direct LDL-C level of 100 mg/dL would correspond to a calculated LDL-C of 115 mg/dL. Although this difference could be of some significance for treatment decisions, to avoid confusion the distinction will not be emphasized in the discussion to follow.
In patients allocated to simvastatin, all-cause mortality was significantly reduced by 13% (P=0.0003). Major vascular events were reduced by 24%, coronary death rate by 18%, nonfatal myocardial infarction + coronary death by 27%, nonfatal or fatal stroke by 25%, and cardiovascular revascularization by 24%. The reduction in the event rate was similar in each subcategory, including patients without diagnosed coronary disease who had cerebrovascular disease, or peripheral artery disease, or diabetes. Similar event reductions on simvastatin therapy occurred for men and women and for participants either under or over 70 years of age at entry. No significant adverse effects of simvastatin therapy were reported, including no significant increase in myopathy, cancer incidence, or hospitalization for any other nonvascular cause.
Subgroup analysis of HPS suggests that simvastatin therapy produced similar reductions in relative risk regardless of the baseline levels of LDL-C, including subgroups with initial (or baseline) LDL-C levels
135 mg/dL, <116 mg/dL, or <100 mg/dL. At least 2 issues, however, can be noted with regard to the reported subgroup analysis of HPS at low (or very low) LDL-C levels. First, LDL-C cutpoints to define these subgroups would have been higher if LDL-C had been calculated by the Friedewald equation, the method employed by ATP III for routine clinical practice. Second, the characteristics of low-LDL subgroups, ie, what portions had hypertriglyceridemia, elevated non-HDL-C, or diabetes, or were free of CVD, have not been made available. These qualifying issues must be kept in mind when generalizing HPS findings to all high-risk patients with low baseline LDL-C levels.
HPS investigators further examined their results more closely for persons with diabetes (11). The study included 5963 individuals with diabetes (ages 40 to 80 years). Those subjects receiving simvastatin 40 mg/d had significant reductions of approximately one quarter in first-event rates for major coronary events, strokes, and revascularizations. Event reductions were similar to those for nondiabetic patients. In 2912 patients with diabetes and without diagnosed coronary or other occlusive arterial disease at entry, simvastatin therapy reduced risk by about one third. In 2426 participants with diabetes whose pretreatment LDL-C was <116 mg/dL, event rates were 27% lower on simvastatin therapy. In the subgroup of patients with diabetes who were without vascular disease and whose LDL-C levels were <116 mg/dL at baseline, a marginally significant 30% reduction in risk was observed. Efficacy of simvastatin therapy in the subgroup of patients with LDL-C <100 mg/dL was not reported. HPS investigators concluded that, in general, cholesterol lowering with statin therapy is efficacious in patients with diabetes, including those without manifest CHD and those with relatively low LDL-C levels.
Prospective study of pravastatin in the elderly at risk. This trial examined the efficacy of pravastatin treatment in older men and women with or at high risk of developing CVD and stroke (5). Subjects (n=5804; 2804 men and 3000 women), ages 70 to 82 years, who had a history of vascular disease or CVD risk factors were randomized to pravastatin (40 mg/d) or placebo. The primary end point was a composite of coronary death, nonfatal myocardial infarction, and fatal or nonfatal stroke. Baseline total cholesterol varied widely from 150 mg/dL to 350 mg/dL. Follow-up averaged 3.2 years. Pravastatin reduced LDL-C levels by 34%. The composite end point was reduced on pravastatin therapy by 15% (P=0.014). Major coronary events, defined as nonfatal myocardial infarction and CHD death, fell on therapy by 19% (P=0.006), and CHD mortality by 24% (P=0.043). No reduction in stroke was observed, but transient ischemic attacks fell by 25% on therapy (P=0.051). The stroke rate in the trial, however, was about half of that predicted, so the effects of statin therapy on stroke must be viewed in this light. New cancer unexpectedly was found 25% more often on pravastatin treatment (P=0.020). This finding, however, contrasts with meta-analysis of all pravastatin and all statin trials, in which overall cancer incidence was not increased (5). Pravastatin therapy neither improved cognitive function nor retarded progression of disability. According to the authors, PROSPER results allow statin therapy to be extended to older persons.
Antihypertensive and lipid-lowering treatment to prevent heart attack triallipid-lowering trial.
The primary goal of ALLHAT was to evaluate current modalities of hypertension treatment. The lipid-lowering component, which was a subset of this trial, was designed to assess whether pravastatin therapy compared with usual care reduces all-cause mortality in older, moderately hypercholesterolemic, hypertensive participants with at least one additional CHD risk factor (6). The study used 513 primarily community-based North American clinical centers. The lipid-lowering component of ALLHAT randomized 10 355 persons. Participants were over 55 years of age and had LDL-C levels ranging from 120 to 189 mg/dL and triglycerides below 350 mg/dL. Those patients with LDL-C levels
120 mg/dL (100 to 129 mg/dL if known CHD) and triglycerides lower than 350 mg/dL were randomized to nonblinded arms of pravastatin (n=5170) or usual care (n=5185). Baseline mean total cholesterol was 224 mg/dL; LDL-C, 146 mg/dL; HDL-C, 48 mg/dL; and triglycerides, 152 mg/dL. Mean age was 66 years; 49% were women; 38% were black and 23% Hispanic; 14% had a history of CHD; and 35% had type 2 diabetes. The primary outcome was all-cause mortality, and secondary outcomes were nonfatal myocardial infarction or fatal CHD (CHD events) combined, cause-specific mortality, and cancer.
Mean follow-up duration of participants was 4.8 years. Crossover of usual-care participants to lipid-lowering drugs was high (32% of usual-care participants with CHD and 29% without CHD). Follow-up of patients for lipid results was not complete. Among a nonrandom subset of participants tested, total cholesterol levels were reduced by 17% with pravastatin versus 8% with usual care at 4 years. In ALLHAT-LLT, all-cause mortality was similar for the 2 groups, with 6-year mortality rates of 14.9% for pravastatin versus 15.3% with usual care. For all participants, CHD event rates were not significantly different between the groups, with 6-year CHD event rates of 9.3% for pravastatin and 10.4% for usual care. In the African-American subgroup, however, CHD events were significantly reduced in the pravastatin arm compared with usual care. The authors speculated that the failure to detect a significant reduction in risk in hypertensive patients treated with pravastatin may be due to the modest differential in total cholesterol (9.6%) between pravastatin and usual care. Other possible explanations for the failure to observe a treatment benefit could be the unblinded nature of the study without a placebo arm and a large crossover of higher-risk subjects in the usual-care arm to active lipid-lowering therapy.
Anglo-Scandinavian cardiac outcomes triallipid-lowering arm.
In contrast to the ALLHAT lipid-lowering component, a markedly different result was obtained in hypertensive patients in ASCOT-LLA (7). In this study, 19 342 hypertensive patients, 40 to 79 years old and having at least 3 other cardiovascular risk factors, were randomized to 1 of 2 antihypertensive regimens. Among these subjects, 10 305 were in addition randomly assigned atorvastatin 10 mg or placebo. Selection was made on the basis of nonfasting total cholesterol of
251 mg/dL (6.5 mmol/L). LDL-C levels averaged 132 mg/dL and were reduced by an average of 42 mg/dL (29%) in the atorvastatin-treated group at the end of the study. The primary end point was nonfatal myocardial infarction and fatal CHD. The study was planned for a follow-up of an average of 5 years but was stopped after a median follow-up of 3.3 years. At that time, 100 primary events had occurred in the atorvastatin group, compared with 154 events in the placebo group (hazard ratio 0.64, P=0.0005). In the atorvastatin group, incidence of fatal and nonfatal stroke was reduced by 27% (P=0.024), total cardiovascular events by 21% (P=0.0005), and total coronary events by 29% (P=0.0005). There was a nonsignificant trend toward a reduction in total mortality in the atorvastatin group (13%; P=0.16). Because of these markedly positive findings with atorvastatin therapy, the study was terminated prematurely. The authors indicated that LDL lowering with atorvastatin therapy has considerable potential to reduce risk for CVD in primary prevention in patients with multiple CVD risk factors.
Pravastatin or atorvastatin evaluation and infectionthrombolysis in myocardial infarction 22. This study, designated PROVE IT,(8) was designed to determine whether intensive LDL-C lowering will reduce major coronary events, including mortality, more than "standard" LDL-C lowering with statin therapy in high-risk patients. Two statins at different doses were compared: atorvastatin 80 mg versus pravastatin 40 mg. Previous studies have shown that pravastatin 40 mg produces a reduction of LDL-C equivalent to approximately 10 mg of atorvastatin. Prior clinical trials have demonstrated that treatment of patients with established CHD with pravastatin 40 mg will reduce LDL-C levels to near 100 mg/dL and will reduce risk for major coronary events by approximately 27% (12). In PROVE IT, 4162 patients who had been hospitalized for an acute coronary syndrome within the preceding 10 days were enrolled and randomized to the 2 therapies. The primary end point of the trial was a composite of death from any cause, myocardial infarction, documented unstable angina requiring rehospitalization, revascularization (performed at least 30 days after randomization), and stroke. Mean follow-up time was 24 months. At the end of 2 years of therapy, the composite cardiovascular end point was reduced by 16% with atorvastatin compared with pravastatin (P<0.005). Nonsignificant trends were observed on atorvastatin therapy for total mortality (P<0.07) and for death or myocardial infarction (P<0.06). The high dose of atorvastatin was well tolerated, and no case of severe myopathy (rhabdomyolysis) was observed in either treatment group. Greater than 3-fold elevations of alanine aminotransferase were observed in 3.3% of patients treated with atorvastatin versus 1.1% on pravastatin (P<0.003).
The LDL-C level attained on pravastatin 40 mg was 95 mg/dL, whereas the level attained on atorvastatin 80 mg was 62 mg/dL. The difference in LDL-C thus was 33 mg/dL (35%). The results of PROVE IT suggest that more intensive LDL-Clowering therapy reduces major cardiovascular events in patients with acute coronary syndrome compared with less intensive therapy over a period of 2 years. It must be noted, however, that 72% of the patients had LDL-C levels <125 mg/dL, and in this large subgroup, the modest trend toward benefit of atorvastatin over pravastatin was not statistically significant.
| Lipid targets of therapy |
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Other lipid targets.
It should be noted that ATP III introduced a new secondary target of therapy, namely non-HDL-C, in patients with elevated triglycerides (
200 mg/dL). Non-HDL-C equates to VLDL + LDL-C (which, when calculated, includes intermediate-density lipoprotein). The non-HDL-C goal is 30 mg/dL higher than the LDL-C goal. Non-HDL-C was added as a secondary target of therapy to take into account the atherogenic potential associated with remnant lipoproteins in patients with hypertriglyceridemia. Because statins lower LDL-C cholesterol and non-HDL-C to a similar percentage, recent clinical trials do not differentiate between these 2 lipid measures with regard to their relative benefits in risk reduction.
Although the potential benefit of HDL-raising therapy has evoked considerable interest, current documentation of risk reduction through controlled clinical trials is not sufficient to warrant setting a specific goal value for raising HDL-C. Recent lipid-lowering drug trials provide no new evidence in this regard (13). New drugs that effectively raise serum HDL-C levels are currently under development, and it is likely that these drugs will be tested for efficacy for clinical event reduction in the future. One class of drugs that modestly raises HDL-C is the fibrates. Post-hoc analysis (2,14) of several clinical trials with fibrates indicates that they reduce risk for CHD events in patients with high triglycerides and low HDL-C, especially when the patients have diabetes or characteristics of the metabolic syndrome (15). Although the evidence base to support fibrate therapy is not as strong as that for statins, fibrates may have an adjunctive role in the treatment of patients with high triglycerides/low HDL, especially in combination with statins. Concern about development of myopathy with this combination has been lessened somewhat by the recent finding that one fibrate, fenofibrate, does not interfere with catabolism of statins and thus likely does not substantially increase the risk for clinical myopathy in patients treated with moderate doses of statins (16,17).
Another drug that raises HDL-C is nicotinic acid. Several clinical trials support the efficacy of nicotinic acid for reduction of CHD risk, both when used alone (18,19) and in combination with statins (20,21). The combination of a statin with nicotinic acid produces a marked reduction of LDL-C and a striking rise in HDL-C (22). As a result of these studies, the US Food and Drug Administration has approved one statin/nicotinic acid combination. Although the majority of patients can tolerate nicotinic acid therapy, a sizable minority are intolerant because of a variety of side effects.
| Relation of serum LDL-C concentrations to CHD risk |
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The results of HPS help to confirm the congruence of epidemiology and clinical trials at low LDL-C levels. HPS provides strong new evidence to support the log-linear relationship between LDL-C levels and CHD risk, even at low LDL-C concentrations. In fact, HPS results suggest that reducing serum LDL-C from any baseline level further lowers risk in high-risk patients. In HPS, absolute risk reductions for major vascular events were smaller at lower LDL-C levels because the risk imparted by higher LDL-C itself was lacking. Nonetheless, the association between LDL-C levels and CHD risk seemingly remains log-linear at low LDL-C levels (Figure). The recent trials did not identify a threshold LDL-C level below which no further reduction in risk occurs.
Implications of log-linear relationship between LDL-C and CHD risk for ATP III's categorical goals of therapy in high-risk patients.
Rationale for recommended low LDL-C goal (<100 mg/dL)
ATP III set the goal for LDL-C lowering in high-risk patients to be <100 mg/dL. This goal is consistent with the observed log-linear relationship between LDL-C levels and CHD risk observed in epidemiological data (2325). It was as low as could be supported by clinical-trial evidence at the time of ATP III release. It also was a goal that could be achieved through LDL-C lowering in a sizable proportion of high-risk patients by standard doses of drugs used in clinical trials. The latter point is important. Doses of statins used in most secondary prevention trials will achieve an LDL-C level <100 mg/dL in little more than half of high-risk patients (4,2628). To attain an LDL-C <100 mg/dL in the remaining patients, either the statin dose must be increased or a second LDL-lowering drug must be added to therapy. Thus, in ATP III, the LDL-C goal of <100 mg/dL was considered to be not only the limit of efficacy supported by available clinical trial data but also the practical limit that could be achieved in most high-risk patients with standard therapy as informed by clinical trials.
Rationale for optional very low LDL-C goal (<70 mg/dL)
A question raised by HPS and PROVE IT is whether an LDL-C goal of <100 mg/dL is sufficiently low in high-risk patients who already have a low LDL-C level at baseline. In HPS, patients whose LDL-C levels at baseline were <116 mg/dL, and even the subgroup with LDL-C concentrations <100 mg/dL, exhibited significant risk reduction when statin therapy was introduced. In PROVE IT, intensive LDL-Clowering therapy with high-dose statin (atorvastatin) reduced major cardiovascular events in only 2 years as compared with standard-dose statin (pravastatin 40 mg). Pravastatin 40 mg reduced the median LDL-C from 106 mg/dL to 95 mg/dL, which achieved the ATP III goal of <100 mg/dL; atorvastatin 80 mg lowered LDL-C to a median of 62 mg/dL. Thus, on the basis of both HPS and PROVE IT, an LDL-C level of 100 mg/dL does not appear to be a threshold below which no further benefit could be achieved by still more LDL-C lowering. It is important to note that ATP III considered an LDL-C level of 100 mg/dL to be a minimal goal of treatment for high-risk patients. This level was not viewed as the level of maximal benefit of LDL lowering. A goal of less than 100 mg/dL was explicitly established by ATP III to indicate that the level of 100 is a minimal goal of therapy. Both HPS and PROVE IT indeed suggest that additional benefit may be obtained by reducing LDL levels to substantially below 100 mg/dL. This likelihood is enhanced by the finding that intensive lowering of LDL-C to well below 100 mg/dL will reduce progression of coronary atherosclerotic lesions compared with LDL-C reductions to approximately 110 mg/dL (29). If HPS is taken at face value, reducing LDL-C by 30% starting at 100 mg/dL will produce another 20% to 30% lowering in relative risk for CHD. In PROVE IT, the somewhat smaller reduction of 16% in major cardiovascular events on atorvastatin 80 mg compared with pravastatin 40 mg may be related to the relatively short duration of the trial. Thus, in terms of absolute risk, an LDL-C of 70 mg/dL seems preferable for high-risk patients compared with a level of 100 mg/dL. At present, however, HPS and PROVE IT cannot be taken as the final word on the benefit of reducing LDL levels to well below 100 mg/dL. Several other clinical trials (reviewed in Waters et al (30)) are underway to probe the efficacy of lowering LDL to very low levels.
Until these trials are completed, prudence requires that setting an LDL-C goal of <70 mg/dL for high-risk patients must be left as a therapeutic option on the basis of clinical trial evidence, whereas a goal of <100 mg/dL can be retained as a strong recommendation. Factors that favor a decision to reduce LDL-C levels to <70 mg/dL are those that place patients in the category of very high risk. Among these factors are the presence of established CVD plus (1) multiple major risk factors (especially diabetes), (2) severe and poorly controlled risk factors (especially continued cigarette smoking), (3) multiple risk factors of the metabolic syndrome (especially high triglycerides
200 mg/dL plus non-HDL-C
130 mg/dL with low HDL-C [<40 mg/dL]), and (4) on the basis of PROVE IT, patients with acute coronary syndromes. To avoid any misunderstanding about cholesterol management in general, it must be emphasized that the optional goal of <70 mg/dL does not apply to individuals who are not high risk.
Potential side effects of very low LDL cholesterol
In the past, concern has been raised about potential dangers of reducing LDL to very low levels. Some epidemiological studies (3133) suggest that very low serum cholesterol levels are associated with an increase in total mortality. In particular, an association with cerebral hemorrhage has been reported. In these studies, a causal link between low cholesterol levels and morbidity or mortality has not been established. Some investigators attribute the association to confounding factors. In recent clinical trials with statin therapy, no significant side effects from LDL lowering per se have been identified. For these reasons, the decision to achieve very low LDL levels in very high-risk patients should be based on evidence of benefit and recognition that there appears to be only a remote possibility of side effects from LDL lowering per se.
Limitations in efficacy of LDL-lowering therapy
In spite of growing evidence for benefit of reducing LDL-C levels to <70 mg/dL in very high-risk patients, many such patients may not be able to achieve such low levels with currently available drugs. This will be the case particularly when baseline LDL-C levels are relatively high. For example, even with high-dose statins (34) or LDL-lowering drug combinations (35,36), LDL-C reductions >50% often cannot be achieved. Thus, when baseline LDL-C is >150 mg/dL, it may not be possible to achieve an LDL-C <70 mg/dL in very high-risk patients.
| Relation of percentage reduction in LDL to CHD risk: implications for therapy |
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| Implications of HPS and PROVE IT for clinical management of elevated LDL-C in high-risk patients |
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Baseline LDL-C levels
130 mg/dL.
For high-risk persons, ATP III recommended that LDL-lowering drugs begin simultaneously with dietary therapy when LDL-C is
130 mg/dL. HPS supports this recommendation; those HPS subjects with higher LDL-C levels had the greatest reduction in absolute risk from statin therapy. As shown in several clinical trials (2628), including HPS, however, when LDL-C levels are well above 130 mg/dL, eg,
160 mg/dL, standard doses of statins may not be sufficient to achieve the goal of <100 mg/dL. When they do not, the dose of statin may have to be increased or a second agent (eg, ezetimibe, bile acid sequestrant, or nicotinic acid) may be needed. Alternatively, a maximizing of dietary therapy (including the use of plant stanols/sterols) combined with a standard dose of statin may be sufficient to attain the ATP III goal in some patients. A recent report indicates that maximal dietary therapy can achieve LDL-C reductions of up to 25% to 30% (39). Combined with standard doses of statins, such dietary therapy should lower LDL-C levels by well above 40%, which often will achieve the recommended target of therapy.
Baseline LDL-C levels of 100 to 129 mg/dL. By setting an LDL-C goal of <100 mg/dL, ATP III favored institution of LDL-lowering therapy in this LDL-C range. Still, for patients having low HDL levels as the predominant lipoprotein abnormality, fibrates or nicotinic acid were acknowledged as alternatives to statin therapy. Recent clinical trials with fibrate therapy are consistent with this option (40). HPS results, on the other hand, reinforce the ATP IIIpreferred option, ie, institution of LDL-lowering drug therapy. The HPS finding of a substantial benefit from use of a standard dose of statin further implies that for those with baseline LDL-C close to 100 mg/dL, therapy should be intensive enough to achieve a 30% to 40% reduction in LDL-C levels, and not merely enough statin to attain an LDL-C level just below 100 mg/dL. A small lowering of LDL-C just to achieve the goal will not yield much additional risk reduction. Standard doses of statins, in contrast, are sufficient to attain a substantial risk reduction. If nicotinic acid or fibrates are considered an option for this LDL-C range, it may be preferable to use them in combination with an LDL-lowering drug and not as a sole agent.
Baseline LDL-C levels <100 mg/dL. ATP III did not recommend institution of LDL-lowering therapy in high-risk patients when the serum LDL-C is <100 mg/dL. HPS, however, found that such patients had a significant lowering of risk for CVD events when they were treated with a standard dose of statin. On the basis of HPS, some authorities recommend the use of statin therapy in virtually all high-risk patients whose LDL-C is <100 mg/dL. Indeed, further risk reduction through LDL lowering in patients with high baseline risk is consistent with the log-linear relationship between LDL-C levels and CHD risk shown in the Figure. However, a global recommendation to lower LDL-C in high-risk patients with LDL-C <100 mg/dL cannot be based on HPS alone in light of the limitations discussed before (page 229). Ongoing clinical trials may provide additional support for recommending an LDL-C goal well below 100 mg/dL. In the meantime, initiation of an LDL-lowering drug in high-risk patients when baseline serum LDL-C is <100 mg/dL, eg, to reduce LDL-C to the range of <70 mg/dL, is a reasonable therapeutic decision on the basis of clinical judgment that the patient is still at very high absolute risk for future CVD events. This therapeutic strategy is supported by the results of HPS and PROVE IT. For LDL-C <100 mg/dL, other lipid-lowering drugs (eg, fibrates, nicotinic acid) can be considered for patients with elevated triglycerides and/or low HDL-C; these drugs can be used, either as alternatives to statin therapy, as shown by the Veterans Affairs High-Density Lipoprotein Cholesterol Intervention Trial (VA-HIT) (40), or in combination with statins.
On-treatment LDL-C <100 mg/dL. Again, ATP III did not recommend further LDL-lowering therapy for this group. A log-linear relationship between LDL-C level and CHD risk implies that further reduction in risk could be achieved by still more LDL lowering (Figure). HPS results are consistent with this possibility, and so are those of PROVE IT, but these results cannot be considered definitive. Several clinical trials are currently underway (see Waters et al (30)) in which standard-dose and high-dose statin therapy are being compared. Moreover, to achieve the LDL-C goal of <100 mg/dL, many patients may already have been treated with either high doses of statins or combined drug therapy. In such patients, achieving a yet lower LDL goal (eg, <70 mg/dL) will not be a practical option. For those patients who attain an LDL-C <100 mg/dL on standard doses of statins, physicians can consider intensifying LDL-C reduction. Intensified therapy might be reserved for those patients deemed to be at very high risk. PROVE IT reported 2-year benefit from intensified LDL lowering in patients with acute coronary syndromes, and it will be important to confirm these results through several other ongoing clinical trials (see Waters et al (30)) of similar design before making global recommendations for high-risk patients with on-treatment LDL-C <100 mg/dL.
Patients with acute coronary syndromes. These patients are at very high risk for suffering recurrent coronary events in the near term. The Myocardial Ischemia Reduction with Aggressive Cholesterol Lowering (MIRACL) trial (41) previously suggested that intensive LDL-lowering therapy would reduce risk for recurrent cardiovascular events in the first 18 months after acute coronary syndromes. PROVE IT greatly strengthens the evidence for benefit of intensive LDL lowering in the first 2 years after acute coronary syndromes. For this reason, intensive therapy should be considered for all patients admitted to the hospital for acute coronary syndromes. A strong case is made by PROVE IT for achieving the optional LDL-C goal of <70 mg/dL. Choice of drug and dosage should be guided in part by measurement of LDL-C within 24 hours of admission to the hospital. Modification of therapy can be made at follow-up if necessary to achieve the desired LDL-C level. If the baseline in-hospital LDL-C is relatively low, even an LDL-C level of <70 mg/dL may be achieved by a standard dose of statin. If the baseline LDL-C level is higher, a high dose of statin or the combination of a standard dose of statin with ezetimibe, bile acid sequestrant, or nicotinic acid may be required. In choice of therapy, consideration should be given to safety of the regimen for the individual patient as well as to efficacy of treatment.
| Implications of HPS results for patients with diabetes |
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Diabetes plus CVD. In HPS, patients who had both diabetes and CVD were at very high risk for future CVD events. In terms of absolute risk reduction, this category of patient obtained the greatest benefit from statin therapy. Therefore, patients with the combination of diabetes and CVD deserve intensive lipid-lowering therapy. On the basis of HPS, the presence of this combination appears to support initiation of statin therapy regardless of baseline LDL-C levels. For patients with diabetes plus CVD, it is reasonable to attempt to achieve a very low LDL-C level (eg, <70 mg/dL).
Diabetes without CVD. ATP III indicated that most patients with diabetes are at high risk even in the absence of established CHD. Most patients with hyperglycemia have type 2 diabetes, are older, and have multiple risk factors. Epidemiological studies and clinical trials demonstrate that in higher-risk populations these patients have a risk for CVD events approximately equal to that of nondiabetic patients with established CVD. HPS data found both a high risk in this group and benefit from LDL-lowering therapy, supporting the LDL-C goal of <100 mg/dL. On the other hand, in those diabetic patients without CVD who had an LDL-C at baseline of <116 mg/dL, risk reduction accompanying statin therapy was only marginally significant for first coronary event. Thus, whether to start an LDL-lowering drug when LDL-C is <100 mg/dL in this category of patient must be left to clinical judgment.
As noted in ATP III, not all patients with clinical diabetes have a 10-year risk >20%. Many of those who do not nonetheless deserve to be classified as high risk because of poor prognosis once CHD becomes manifest, as mentioned before. On the other hand, a portion of patients with diabetes can be considered to be at only moderately high risk because of young age or lack of other risk factors. Such patients were not studied in HPS. For the category of moderately high risk (10-year risk 10% to 20%), ATP III guidelines favored institution of LDL-lowering drugs along with dietary therapy when LDL-C levels are
130 mg/dL. Thus, if a patient with diabetes is considered to be at lower risk, an LDL-lowering drug might not be started if the LDL-C level is <130 mg/dL. Maximal TLC clearly is indicated, but clinical judgment must be exercised with regard to when to initiate an LDL-lowering drug.
Implications of HPS, PROSPER, and ASCOT for cholesterol management in older persons. ATP III counseled that, on the basis of considerations of age alone, older persons should not be denied the benefits of LDL-lowering therapy accorded to other age groups. Although several epidemiological studies found that elevated cholesterol levels confer a smaller relative risk in older compared with younger persons, the absolute risk attributable to increased cholesterol levels remains high. Moreover, subgroup analysis of several previous trials with statins strongly suggested that LDL-lowering therapy significantly reduces risk for CHD in older persons. HPS and PROSPER results add support for benefit of LDL-lowering therapy in older persons. The implications for 2 groups of older persons can be examined briefly.
Older persons with established CVD. HPS explicitly documented risk reduction with statin therapy in older persons (65 to 80 years) at high risk. Absolute risk reduction was just as great in this group as in other high-risk groups. Older persons tolerated statin therapy well. Although PROSPER had fewer older persons with established CVD, and they were treated for a shorter time than in HPS, a strong trend toward reduction in CHD was noted. The results of HPS and PROSPER, taken together with the findings of other statin trials, provide a strong justification for intensive LDL-lowering therapy in older persons with established CVD.
Older persons at high risk without established CVD. Absolute risk rises with age because of progressive accumulation of coronary atherosclerosis (1,2). Women are at lower risk, but if they have multiple risk factors, they too are at relatively high risk. Older patients with diabetes certainly must be considered to be at high risk. Unfortunately, risk assessment in older persons is not highly reliable. Other tests in older persons without clinical CVD hold promise for improving risk estimates, but so far, additional testing has not been integrated into quantitative risk assessment. Therefore, beyond use of Framingham risk scoring in older persons, clinical judgment is required as to when to initiate intensive LDL-lowering therapy in older persons without CVD. Efficacy alone is not the key issue in this group. A host of factors must be weighed, including efficacy, safety, tolerability, and patient preference, in this age group. The results of both PROSPER and ASCOT support the efficacy of statin therapy in older, high-risk persons without established CVD.
| Implications of the ASCOT-LLA and ALLHAT-LLT trials for patients at moderately high risk |
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130 mg/dL. The LDL-C goal for these persons was set at a level of <130 mg/dL. If LDL-lowering drugs are employed to achieve the LDL-C goal recommended by ATP III, presumably the dose of drug should be sufficient to reduce LDL-C levels by 30% to 40%.
ATP III did not recommend LDL-lowering therapy in moderately high-risk patients in whom serum LDL-C is <130 mg/dL. However, a significant portion of the subjects in the ASCOT study, who had LDL-C <130 mg/dL and were at moderately high risk by ATP III criteria, had a significant lowering of risk for CVD when they were treated with a standard dose of a statin. Thus, ASCOT supports use of an LDL-lowering drug in persons with a 10-year risk of 10% to 20% and LDL-C level of 100 to 129 mg/dL, at baseline or on lifestyle changes, to achieve an LDL-C level <100 mg/dL, as a therapeutic option on the basis of clinical judgment of the patient's absolute risk and potential benefit of an LDL-lowering drug. Initiation of TLC also is recommended. Factors that might favor use of an LDL-lowering drug in this category include advancing age, more than 2 risk factors, severe risk factors (eg, continued cigarette smoking, a strongly positive family history of premature atherosclerotic CVD), high triglycerides (
200 mg/dL) plus elevated non-HDL-C (
160 mg/dL), low HDL-C (<40 mg/dL), the metabolic syndrome, and/or the presence of emerging risk factors (eg, serum high-sensitivity C-reactive protein >3 mg/L (2,44) or coronary calcium >75th percentile for a person's age and sex (2)).
ALLHAT-LLT recruited a heterogeneous group of subjects that on average appear to fall into the moderately high-risk category. The results in ALLHAT were disappointing because of the small difference in cholesterol levels between usual-care and statin-therapy groups. It should be noted, however, that a significant reduction in risk for major cardiovascular events was obtained in the African-American subgroup treated with pravastatin; this finding supports the ATP III recommendation that goals of LDL-lowering therapy should not be modified on the basis of ethnicity.
For people in lower risk categories (2+ risk factors and 10-year risk <10%, or 0 to 1 risk factor), the results of recent clinical trials do not modify the goals and cutpoints of therapy.
| Summary of implications of recent clinical trials for ATP III treatment algorithm |
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Table 2 shows the ATP III goals and cutpoints and proposed modifications in the treatment algorithm for LDL cholesterol based on evidence from recent clinical trials. Essential modifications are highlighted in footnotes to Table 2 and are summarized in Table 3. Several modifications offer therapeutic options with regard to LDL-C goals lower than those in ATP III and choice of therapies. Recent clinical trials provide greater rationale for more intensive LDL-lowering therapy, but they do not resolve all issues surrounding very low LDL levels. At these levels, physicians must ultimately rely on clinical judgment to weigh patient risk and the efficacy, safety, and cost of different therapies. These issues can be discussed in the following context.
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100 mg/dL. Furthermore, any person at high risk who has lifestyle-related risk factors (eg, obesity, physical inactivity, elevated triglycerides, low HDL-C, or metabolic syndrome) is a candidate for TLC to modify these risk factors regardless of LDL-C level. As before, whenever the baseline LDL-C concentration is
130 mg/dL, simultaneous initiation of an LDL-lowering drug and dietary therapy is recommended. If LDL-C is 100 to 129 mg/dL, the same now holds. If baseline LDL-C is <100 mg/dL and the patient is considered to be at very high risk, initiation of an LDL-lowering drug to achieve an LDL-C level of <70 mg/dL is a therapeutic option that has clinical trial support. For those high-risk patients who have elevated triglycerides or low HDL-C levels, addition of a fibrate or nicotinic acid to LDL-lowering therapy can be considered.
For patients at moderately high risk (10-year risk 10% to 20%), the LDL-C goal remains <130 mg/dL. However, a goal of <100 mg/dL represents a therapeutic option on the basis of evidence of efficacy in risk reduction from primary-prevention trials. TLC should be initiated in all such persons whose LDL-C level is
130 mg/dL. Again, any person at moderately high risk who has lifestyle-related risk factors (eg, obesity, physical inactivity, elevated triglycerides, low HDL-C, or metabolic syndrome) is a candidate for TLC to modify these risk factors regardless of LDL-C level. If the LDL-C concentration is
130 mg/dL after TLC, consideration should be given to initiating an LDL-lowering drug, to achieve and sustain the LDL-C goal of <130 mg/dL. For LDL-C levels of 100 to 129 mg/dL at baseline or on lifestyle therapy, initiation of an LDL-lowering drug to achieve an LDL-C level <100 mg/dL is a therapeutic option on the basis of clinical trial evidence of additional efficacy.
When initiating LDL-lowering therapy in a person at high risk or moderately high risk, the efficacy of therapeutic lifestyle change both to lower LDL-C levels and to reduce risk through other mechanisms must not be overlooked. Lifestyle change must be an integral part of risk reduction therapy. When an LDL-lowering drug is employed in a person at high risk or moderately high risk, a reduction in LDL-C levels of at least 30% to 40% beyond dietary therapy should be achieved if feasible. For people in lower risk categories, there are no proposed changes to the treatment goals and cutpoints (45).
| Footnotes |
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* Member of the Working Group until December 31, 2003. ![]()
| References |
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