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J Am Coll Cardiol, 2001; 38:1277-1282 © 2001 by the American College of Cardiology Foundation |

* Division of Cardiology, Cardiovascular Department, Ospedali Riuniti, Bergamo, Italy
Division of Cardiovascular Diseases and Internal Medicine, Mayo Clinic and Mayo Foundation, Rochester, Minnesota, USA
Manuscript received December 5, 2000; revised manuscript received June 12, 2001, accepted July 11, 2001.
* Reprint requests and correspondence: Dr. Margaret M. Redfield, Division of Cardiovascular Diseases and Internal Medicine, 200 First Street, Southwest, Rochester, Minnesota 55905 USA
redfield.margaret{at}mayo.edu
| Abstract |
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| Heart failure with normal systolic function |
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| The prognosis of patients with DHF is better than that of patients with SHF |
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| The prognosis for patients with DHF is similar to that of patients with SHF |
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In our study (Senni et al. [5]) of all patients with incident CHF (Framingham criteria) in Olmsted County, Minnesota, in 1991 (n = 216; mean age 77 years), 137 had assessment of ejection fraction within three weeks of diagnosis. Of these, 43% had an ejection fraction
50%. In our study, unadjusted survival was similar between patients with preserved and those with reduced systolic function (p = 0.279) (5). Survival adjusted for age, gender, New York Heart Association functional class, and coronary artery disease (CAD) was still not significantly different in the two groups (relative risk = 0.80; p = 0.369).
We recently repeated a review of all patients with new-onset CHF and preserved systolic function in Olmsted County, Minnesota, during 1996 and 1997 (n = 83; mean age 77 years) (20,21). In a preliminary report, Chen et al. (21) indicate that the survival curves in this population-based study of patients with incident CHF and preserved systolic function are identical to those observed in the 1991 cohort. These data confirm our earlier findings regarding the poor outcome in patients with incident CHF and preserved systolic function in the community.
In a small study of 39 patients (mean age 63 years) who had myocardial infarction and acute pulmonary edema, Warnowicz and colleagues (22) found a similar nine-month mortality rate in patients with normal or reduced systolic function. In 73 patients (mean age 73 years) with a history of CHF who underwent echocardiography as a part of the Framingham study, Vasan et al. (4) found that mortality adjusted for age and gender was not significantly lower in patients with normal systolic function. In that study of prevalent CHF, unadjusted mortality was lower in patients with preserved systolic function. The mean time from CHF diagnosis to echocardiography was 2.8 years (range 0.1 to 15 years). Patients with normal systolic function were older and more frequently women, compared to those with systolic dysfunction. Recent preliminary data from Ansari et al. (23) in a large Veterans Administration (VA) cohort of elderly (mean age 72 years), primarily male patients with a diagnosis of CHF confirmed by Framingham criteria show identical survival curves (mean follow-up 20 months) for those with preserved and those with reduced systolic function.
| Why do studies differ? |
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Another factor that might play a role in the different prognoses reported in available studies is the choice of diagnostic criteria for CHF. In the early studies reporting relatively better outcomes in those with DHF, the criteria were more liberal and less specific compared to the Framingham criteria used in the later studies, which did not find survival differences (Table 1). Thus, it is possible that the group with preserved systolic function may have included patients with noncardiac symptoms, as has recently been reported by Caruana et al. (24) in patients with "suspected heart failure." Although the Framingham criteria are relatively insensitive for the detection of early manifestations of CHF, they have a high sensitivity and specificity for the detection of definite CHF (25). These findings underscore the need for standardized clinical criteria for CHF diagnosis. Difficulty establishing the clinical diagnosis often occurs when assessing elderly patients with co-morbidities and when the diagnosis of CHF is made by a noncardiologist, factors often present in patients with CHF and preserved systolic function.
Various other factors influence the natural history of CHF that were not controlled for in the observational studies reviewed here. Primary among these factors is the type of population studied, which varies widely in the reports analyzed in this review and includes hospitalized patients, patients referred to an imaging laboratory, residents of long-term care facilities, patients seen in a geriatric care center, patients participating in a multicenter study, patients seen in an outpatient CHF clinic, patients seen in the VA system and population-based studies. Studies also can vary as to whether the patients enrolled are presenting with a first-time or subsequent episode of CHF; this is often not specified. Studies vary as to whether ejection fraction was measured during the CHF episode or at a significantly later date. Findings from a recent study would suggest that if ejection fraction was found to be normal some days after presentation with acute pulmonary edema, it was usually normal during the pulmonary edema episode (26). In contrast, a significant number of patients who had normal ejection fraction months to years after a CHF episode had reduced ejection fraction during the CHF episode (27). Indeed, more patients with CHF and reduced systolic function may normalize their ejection fraction with standard therapy in the beta-blocker era. Thus, studies of incident CHF may have findings different from those that include patients with both incident and recurrent CHF.
As most studies characterizing the prognosis of patients with CHF and reduced versus preserved systolic function were observational, therapeutic management was not standardized, and this could influence survival in these retrospective studies. Indeed, recent retrospective cohort studies suggest that treatment with angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibition and beta-blockers may improve survival in patients with DHF (21,28). Although these studies do not offer definitive proof that such agents are of benefit in patients with DHF, they do suggest that differences in treatment not controlled for in observational studies may influence findings regarding outcomes in different patient groups.
In addition, racial and socioeconomic differences may also exist in different studies and influence findings. A preliminary study from an inner-city urban hospital with a large percentage of African American patients reports that subjects with CHF and preserved systolic function were younger (mean age 60 years) than in most series, but outcomes in this population were not assessed (29).
| Clinical implications |
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First, they should serve to heighten appreciation of the importance of the syndrome of DHF in the elderly and impress upon the physician the need for aggressive management both for improvement in survival and reduction of readmission and other morbidity associated with CHF. Rates of readmission usually parallel mortality statistics. Whereas some studies have suggested that readmission rates for DHF are lower than for those observed with CHF and reduced systolic function (5,16), preliminary findings from an inner-city hospitalized CHF population reports similar re-hospitalization rates for those with CHF and preserved or reduced systolic function (30). Although there is no proven treatment for DHF per se, most patients with DHF have hypertension and/or CAD, and aggressive therapy of these underlying conditions is available and proven to reduce CHF (31).
A second important implication of these studies relates to efforts to engender support for treatment trials in DHF. In order for these efforts to proceed, data regarding event rates and their relation to the type of population studied are crucial when designing the study size. These data would suggest that if the population enrolled is elderly, with well-defined and advanced CHF, event rates (and sample size) would be similar to those used in trials for CHF with reduced systolic function. However, should only younger patients or patients with milder CHF not satisfying Framingham criteria be enrolled, the event rates would be lower, and larger sample sizes would be required. Because trials in CHF and systolic dysfunction have traditionally enrolled younger and more predominantly male populations, different enrollment strategies may be needed to study DHF. Data such as those summarized here, as well as enhanced efforts to standardize diagnoses (7,8), are needed if efforts to provide an evidence-based approach to this growing and important clinical syndrome are to succeed.
Conclusions. Although the natural history of DHF will probably continue to be debated, review of the available data confirms the seminal observations from the Framingham study, where the poor prognostic implications of the clinical diagnosis of CHF were established prior to widespread assessment of ejection fraction. We conclude that, at least among the elderly, the clinical diagnosis of CHF portends a grim prognosis that is independent of the level of measured ejection fraction.
| Footnotes |
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| References |
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