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J Am Coll Cardiol, 2001; 37:386-391 © 2001 by the American College of Cardiology Foundation |


* Division of Cardiology, Veterans Affairs Medical Center, San Diego, California, USA
Department of Medicine, University of California, San Diego, California, USA
Manuscript received April 27, 2000; revised manuscript received September 20, 2000, accepted October 26, 2000.
Reprint requests and correspondence: Dr. Alan Maisel, VAMC Cardiology 111-A, 3350 La Jolla Village Drive, San Diego, California 921161
amaisel{at}ucsd.edu
| Abstract |
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The goal of this study was to determine if B-type natriuretic peptide (BNP) levels predict outcomes of patients admitted with decompensated heart failure.
BACKGROUND
Treatment of decompensated congestive heart failure (CHF) has often been based on titration of drugs to relieve patients symptoms, a case that could be made for attempting to also treat neurohormonal abnormalities. Because BNP reflects both elevated left ventricular pressure as well as neurohormonal modulation, we hypothesized that BNP might be useful in assessing outcomes in patients admitted with decompensated CHF.
METHODS
We followed 72 patients admitted with decompensated New York Heart Association class III to IV CHF, measuring daily BNP levels. We then determined the association between initial BNP measurement and the predischarge or premoribund BNP measurement and subsequent adverse outcomes (death and 30-day readmission).
RESULTS
Of the 72 patients admitted with decompensated CHF, 22 end points occurred (death: n = 13, readmission: n = 9). In these patients, BNP levels increased during hospitalization (mean increase, 233 pg/ml, p < 0.001). In patients without end points, BNP decreased (mean decrease 215 pg/ml). Univariate analysis revealed that the last measured BNP was strongly associated with the combined end point. In patients surviving hospitalization, BNP discharge concentrations were strong predictors of subsequent readmission (area under the receiver operator curve of 0.73).
CONCLUSIONS
In patients admitted with decompensated CHF, changes in BNP levels during treatment are strong predictors for mortality and early readmission. The results suggest that BNP levels might be used successfully to guide treatment of patients admitted for decompensated CHF.
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B-type natriuretic peptide (BNP) is a cardiac neurohormone secreted from membrane granules in the cardiac ventricles as a response to ventricular volume expansion and pressure overload (79). B-type natriuretic peptide levels have been shown to be elevated in patients with symptomatic left ventricular (LV) dysfunction and correlate to LV filling pressure, New York Heart Association (NYHA) classification and prognosis (1012). Falling BNP levels reflect beneficial treatment but, until recently, had the same pitfalls of measurement as other neurohormones and cytokines (1315).
Using a recently developed rapid BNP assay (Biosite Diagnostics, San Diego, California), we asked whether BNP levels might be useful in assessing therapeutic responses in patients admitted with decompensated congestive heart failure (CHF). To test this hypothesis, we observed the relationship between BNP measurements performed during hospitalization and serious adverse outcomes.
| Methods |
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Because of the small sample size and the low anticipated rate of adverse events, this study used a (prespecified) combined outcome of either death in hospital or death within 30 days after discharge or readmission to the hospital facility for CHF within 30 days. At 30 days, patient records were checked for readmission or death. Events outside facilities were also tracked by medical records, as patients are always transferred to the VA when stable. One hundred percent of patients received complete follow-up at 30 days.
Measurement of BNP plasma levels. For each BNP measurement, 5 ml of whole blood was collected into tubes containing potassium EDTA (1 mg/ml blood). B-type natriuretic peptide was measured using the Triage B-Type Natriuretic Peptide test (Biosite Diagnostics Inc., San Diego, California). The Triage BNP test is a fluorescence immunoassay for the quantitative determination of BNP in whole blood and plasma specimens. There is a 15 to 20 min turn around time for the assay. When possible, BNP levels were measured in whole blood and processed within 4 h. When this was not possible, samples were spun down, and the plasma was frozen until the sample was analyzed (1 to 2 days), an approach known to produce well-calibrated results with whole blood sample methods.
Statistics. Comparisons of group means were made using t tests for independent samples. In all cases, comparisons were first computed using raw BNP values and then verified with log-transformed BNP values because the BNP distribution was positively skewed. Both procedures yielded identical results.
To evaluate the association between BNP measurements and the combined outcome, we used logistic regression. We also performed a subgroup analysis looking at the association between surviving discharge BNP concentration and readmission to the hospital. In surviving patients, we also computed a receiver-operated curve to assess whether discharge BNP could be used to distinguish patients who would later be readmitted from patients whose CHF was successfully treated.
The number of subjects was not sufficient to permit a true multivariate analysis of the many predictors; thus, the analyses were conducted in a univariate manner. Each logistic regression involved the entry of a single nominal predictor or a continuous covariate and no other predictors.
| Results |
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Figure 1 shows the association between BNP concentration, NYHA classification (at admission and discharge) and patient outcome. Patients who had good outcomes tended to be characterized by decreases in both their NYHA class and BNP levels during hospitalization, with final BNP levels of 690 ± 103 pg/ml (Fig. 2, A1 and B1). Figure 2, A2 and B2, shows admission and last measured BNP levels and NYHA classification in those patients who were readmitted within 30 days of discharge. Even though the NYHA class decreased with treatment in this group, there were only minimal decreases in BNP levels during hospitalization, with a mean discharge BNP of 1,506 ± 452 pg/ml. Finally, subjects who died in the hospital (Fig. 2, A3 and B3) had rising BNP levels and little change in symptoms.
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Defining a potential target discharge BNP level. Table 2 shows univariate logistic regression to predict combined end points (death or readmission) or readmission for both discrete and continuous variables. The only historical variable that significantly predicted outcomes was a previous hospitalization of CHF (p = 0.05). B-type natriuretic peptide levels and admission NYHA classification were both strong predictors of combined end points, as well as being strong predictors of 30-day readmission subsequent outcome. Although both admission BNP levels and the change in BNP levels over the period of hospitalization were significant predictors of outcome, the last measured BNP level was the single variable that was most strongly associated with patients experiencing one of the prespecified end points. The mean BNP concentration was significantly greater in patients experiencing end points (1,801 ± 273 pg/ml standard error of the mean [SEM] vs. 690 ± 103 pg/ml SEM) than in patients with successful treatment of CHF (p < 0.001).
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| Discussion |
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The fact that increased levels of vasoconstrictor neurohumoral factors such as norepinephrine, renin and endothelin-1 have been found to be significant prognostic predictors in CHF suggests an important role of these vasoconstrictors in the pathogenesis of CHF (1821). Although they are antagonizing, these vasoconstrictors have led to improvements in cardiac function (22,23); the use of these markers as monitors of therapy is impractical, in large part due to difficult assay characteristics, general instability of markers and wide-ranging, often overlapping values (24,25).
The vasodilator neurohumoral natriuretic peptide family may be better candidates for neurohumoral profiling in CHF (26). In particular, BNP has drawn recent interest in its ability to match the decompensated state of circulatory congestion (13,14,2731).
B-type natriuretic peptide is a 32-aa polypeptide containing a 17-aa ring structure common to all natriuretic peptides (32,33). The source of plasma BNP is cardiac ventricles, which suggests that it may be a more sensitive and specific indicator of ventricular disorders than other natriuretic peptides (6,7,34). Tsutamoto et al. (34) found that plasma BNP was more useful than ANP or norepinephrine for assessing the mortality in patients with chronic CHF and that plasma levels of BNP provided prognostic information independent of other variables previously associated with a poor prognosis.
Although extensive guidelines have been published on the outpatient management of patients with CHF or asymptomatic LV dysfunction (35), few guidelines address appropriate management during the period of inpatient hospitalization (the phase of care that contributes highly to morbidity and cost). This is the first study that specifically examines outcomes of patients admitted for decompensated CHF using BNP levels drawn throughout hospitalization. Our data suggest that rapid testing of BNP may someday be used to tailor treatment of patients admitted with decompensated heart failure.
Patients whose discharge BNP level fell below 1,220 pg/ml with treatment in the hospital had a reasonable likelihood of leaving the hospital in good condition and not being readmitted within the following 30 days. A final BNP level
430 pg/ml had a strong negative predictive value for readmission. This level is similar to that seen in a group of 200 patients with LV dysfunction on echocardiography with no previous diagnosis of CHF (36). This level also correlates to NYHA classification of approximately class II to III ([37] and personal observation).
Why is plasma BNP a useful predictor of decompensated CHF outcome?. B-type natriuretic peptide is a truly ventricular hormone. There is a direct relationship between ventricular wall stress and secretion of BNP (28). B-type natriuretic peptide responds to changes in LV filling pressure (28,29). The nucleic acid sequence of the BNP gene contains the destabilizing sequence "tatttat," which suggests that turnover of BNP messenger RNA is high and that BNP is synthesized in bursts (3840). Cheung et al. (41) has suggested that BNP level reflects long-term intravascular volume status rather than momentary volume. Our data agree more with Tsutamoto and others (34,42), whose data suggest that BNP is the emergency hormone that responds immediately to ventricular overload.
Study limitations. This was an observational study conducted using a prospective retrospective design in a convenience sample of male patients. As such, the data must be interpreted with caution. Because of the small sample size, multivariate analysis was not performed. Regression studies present the fit of parameters to observed data rather than the predictive performance.
Point-of-care testing and tailored treatment for decompensated heart failureis there a future?. The correlation between the drop in BNP level and the patients improvement in symptoms (and subsequent outcome) suggests that BNP guided treatment might make "tailored therapy" more effective and, in some cases, might reduce the need for invasive hemodynamic monitoring in selected patients. Although there has not been sufficient testing of the value of plasma protein measurements for tailoring therapy of CHF once the patient has been discharged (43), several research groups have recently reported data suggesting that BNP measurements may be useful in the adjustment of medications in heart failure (4346).
In conclusion, the data presented in previously published papers, when combined with the results of this study, suggest that point-of-care testing of BNP may be an effective way to improve the in-hospital management of patients admitted with decompensated CHF. Future studies should examine the feasibility and outcomes of BNP-directed therapy of CHF using point-of-care measurements.
| Acknowledgments |
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| Footnotes |
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| References |
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