Ethnic Differences in the Prognostic Value of Coronary Artery Calcification for All-Cause Mortality
Khurram Nasir, MD, MPH*,1,
Leslee J. Shaw, PhD ,
Sandy T. Liu, MD ,
Steven R. Weinstein, MD ,
Tristen R. Mosler, MD ,
Phillip R. Flores, MD ,
Ferdinand R. Flores, MD ,
Paolo Raggi, MD ,
Daniel S. Berman, MD ,
Roger S. Blumenthal, MD|| and
Matthew J. Budoff, MD ,2,*
* Cardiac MRI PET CT Program, Massachusetts General Hospital Boston, Harvard School of Medicine, Boston, Massachusetts
Division of Cardiology, Department of Medicine, Emory University, Atlanta, Georgia
Division of Cardiology, Harbor-UCLA Medical Center Research and Education Institute, Torrance, California
Department of Imaging and Medicine, Cedars-Sinai Medical Center, Los Angeles, California
|| Ciccarone Preventive Cardiology Center, Johns Hopkins University, School of Medicine, Baltimore, Maryland.

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Figure 1 Observed Frequency of CAC Score Subsets by Ethnicity (n = 14,812)
Prevalence of any coronary artery calcium (CAC) is 66%, 58%, 55%, and 55% for non-Hispanic whites, African Americans, Hispanics, and Asians, respectively (p < 0.0001). As compared with non-Hispanic white, all ethnic groups had lower odds of having any as well as an increasing burden of CAC (p < 0.0001).
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Figure 2 Long-Term Survival in Ethnic Subsets (n = 14,812)
Overall survival was 96%, 93%, and 92% for Asians, non-Hispanic whites, and Hispanics as compared with 83% for African Americans, respectively (p < 0.0001). Among all ethnic groups, the lowest survival was observed in African Americans (83%, p < 0.0001).
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Figure 3 Cumulative Survival By CACS in Ethnic Subsets
(A to D) Using risk-stratified Cox proportional hazard survival analyses, the survival ranged from 98% to 57% in non-Hispanic whites, 97% to 30% in African Americans, 99% to 60% in Hispanics, and 100% to 80% in Asians for coronary artery calcium scores (CACS) of 0 to 10 to 1,000.
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Figure 4 RRRs (95% CIs) for CACS Subsets in HS, AA, and AS Patients as Compared With NHW
The figure depicts the relative risk ratios (RRRs) of events for ethnic subsets with increasing coronary artery calcium scores (CACS) as compared with non-Hispanic whites (NHW). As compared with NHW, the relative risk ratio for CAC 1,000 is 9.0 for Hispanics (HS) (n = 1,334), 6.6 for Asians (AS) (n = 1,065), and 24 for African Americans (AA) (n = 637). CI = confidence interval.
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