Use of clinical data in predicting improvement in exercise capacity after cardiac rehabilitation

Fifty-nine men with coronary heart disease underwent 1 year of supervised aerobic exercise. They performed exercise tests for maximal oxygen uptake, ST segment analysis, thallium scintigraphy and radionuclide ventriculography before and after the year of exercise. A computerized data base that included clinical descriptors and exercise test results was retrospectively reviewed to determine whether initial features could predict the patient's response to the exercise intervention. Poor correlations were found between the initial measurements and change in maximal oxygen consumption and other indexes of training effect. Patients who initially were in the poorest state of fitness showed the most improvement with training. None of the initial features from the history and physical examination, treadmill study or radionuclide studies was a good predictor of a beneficial result from the exercise program. The usual measurements of work intensity during training were poor predictors of outcome. A significant decrease in the amount of ischemia measured by thallium perfusion scintigraphy was demonstrated after training.

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