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J Am Coll Cardiol, 2006; 47:799-803, doi:10.1016/j.jacc.2005.09.054 (Published online 6 February 2006).
© 2006 by the American College of Cardiology Foundation
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CLINICAL RESEARCH: SYSTEMIC AND PULMONARY HYPERTENSION

Relationship of Pulmonary Arterial Capacitance and Mortality in Idiopathic Pulmonary Arterial Hypertension

Srijoy Mahapatra, MD*, Rick A. Nishimura, MD*,*, Paul Sorajja, MD*, Stephen Cha, MS{dagger} and Michael D. McGoon, MD*

* Division of Cardiology, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, Minnesota.
{dagger} Division of Biostatistics, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, Minnesota.

Manuscript received June 20, 2005; revised manuscript received September 5, 2005, accepted September 13, 2005.

* Reprint requests and correspondence: Dr. Rick A Nishimura, 200 First Street, SW, Rochester, Minnesota 55902. (Email: rnishimura{at}mayo.edu).

OBJECTIVES: The purpose of this study was to determine if pulmonary vascular capacitance predicts survival in patients with idiopathic pulmonary arterial hypertension (IPAH).

BACKGROUND: The prognosis of patients with IPAH is difficult to predict, despite knowledge of clinical and hemodynamic parameters previously identified as predictors.

METHODS: We proposed a capacitance index of stroke volume divided by pulmonary pulse pressure (SV/PP) and prospectively gathered data on IPAH patients who underwent a right heart catheterization. SV/PP was analyzed as a predictor of mortality after adjusting for other modifiers of risk.

RESULTS: During 4-year follow-up of 104 patients, 21 patients died. When compared with conventional markers, SV/PP was the strongest univariate predictor of mortality (hazard ratio 17.0 per ml·mm Hg–1 decrease, 95% confidence interval 13.0 to 22.0; p < 0.0001). In successive bivariate analysis, SV/PP was the only predictor of mortality. In quartile analysis, the lowest SV/PP quartile had a 4-year mortality of 61%; the highest SV/PP had no deaths.

CONCLUSIONS: The capacitance index (SV/PP) is a strong independent predictor of mortality in patients with IPAH.

Abbreviations and Acronyms
  CI = confidence interval
  FEV-1 = one-second forced expiratory volume
  HR = hazard ratio
  IPAH = idiopathic pulmonary arterial hypertension
  NIH = National Institutes of Health
  PA = pulmonary artery
  PP = pulse pressure
  PVR = pulmonary vascular resistance
  RA = right atrium
  RV = right ventricle
  SV = stroke volume




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