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J Am Coll Cardiol, 2006; 47:1987-1996, doi:10.1016/j.jacc.2005.11.084 (Published online 21 April 2006).
© 2006 by the American College of Cardiology Foundation
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CLINICAL RESEARCH: HEART FAILURE

Renal Impairment and Outcomes in Heart Failure

Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

Grace L. Smith, MD, MPH*,1, Judith H. Lichtman, PhD, MPH{dagger}, Michael B. Bracken, PhD, MPH{dagger}, Michael G. Shlipak, MD, MPH§,||, Christopher O. Phillips, MD, MPH, Paul DiCapua, BS* and Harlan M. Krumholz, MD, SM, FACC*,{dagger},{ddagger},#,*

* Department of Internal Medicine, Yale University School of Medicine, New Haven, Connecticut
{dagger} Department of Epidemiology and Public Health, Yale University School of Medicine, New Haven, Connecticut
{ddagger} Robert Wood Johnson Clinical Scholars Program, Yale University School of Medicine, New Haven, Connecticut
§ General Internal Medicine Section, Medical Service, San Francisco Veterans Affairs Medical Center, San Francisco, California
|| Department of Medicine, University of California, San Francisco, California
Department of General Internal Medicine, Cleveland Clinic Foundation, Cleveland, Ohio
# Center for Outcomes Research and Evaluation, Yale-New Haven Hospital, New Haven, Connecticut

Manuscript received July 26, 2005; revised manuscript received November 18, 2005, accepted November 21, 2005.

* Reprint requests and correspondence: Dr. Harlan M. Krumholz, Robert Wood Johnson Clinical Scholars Program, Yale University School of Medicine, Sterling Hall of Medicine (SHM), I-Wing, Suite 456, 333 Cedar Street, New Haven, Connecticut 06520. (Email: harlan.krumholz{at}yale.edu).

OBJECTIVES: We estimated the prevalence of renal impairment in heart failure (HF) patients and the magnitude of associated mortality risk using a systematic review of published studies.

BACKGROUND: Renal impairment in HF patients is associated with excess mortality, although precise risk estimates are unclear.

METHODS: A systematic search of MEDLINE (through May 2005) identified 16 studies characterizing the association between renal impairment and mortality in 80,098 hospitalized and non-hospitalized HF patients. All-cause mortality risks associated with any renal impairment (creatinine >1.0 mg/dl, creatinine clearance [CrCl] or estimated glomerular filtration rate [eGFR] <90 ml/min, or cystatin-C >1.03 mg/dl) and moderate to severe impairment (creatinine ≥1.5, CrCl or eGFR <53, or cystatin-C ≥1.56) were estimated using fixed-effects meta-analysis.

RESULTS: A total of 63% of patients had any renal impairment, and 29% had moderate to severe impairment. After follow-up ≥1 year, 38% of patients with any renal impairment and 51% with moderate to severe impairment died versus 24% without impairment. Adjusted all-cause mortality was increased for patients with any impairment (hazard ratio [HR] = 1.56; 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.53 to 1.60, p < 0.001) and moderate to severe impairment (HR = 2.31; 95% CI 2.18 to 2.44, p < 0.001). Mortality worsened incrementally across the range of renal function, with 15% (95% CI 14% to 17%) increased risk for every 0.5 mg/dl increase in creatinine and 7% (95% CI 4% to 10%) increased risk for every 10 ml/min decrease in eGFR.

CONCLUSIONS: Renal impairment is common among HF patients and confers excess mortality. Renal function should be considered in risk stratification and evaluation of therapeutic strategies for HF patients.

Abbreviations and Acronyms
  ACE = angiotensin-converting enzyme
  CI = confidence interval
  CrCl = creatinine clearance
  eGFR = estimated glomerular filtration rate
  HF = heart failure
  HR = hazard ratio
  NYHA = New York Heart Association
  OR = odds ratio
  RR = risk ratio




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