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J Am Coll Cardiol, 2003; 41:2175-2181, doi:10.1016/S0735-1097(03)00460-1
© 2003 by the American College of Cardiology Foundation
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CLINICAL RESEARCH: HEART FAILURE

Periodic breathing during incremental exercise predicts mortality in patients with chronic heart failure evaluated for cardiac transplantation

Joao J. Leite, MD, PhD*,*, Alfredo J. Mansur, MD, PhD*, Humberto F. G. de Freitas, MD*, Paulo R. Chizola, MD*, Edimar A. Bocchi, MD, PhD*, Mario Terra-Filho, MD, PhD*, J. Alberto Neder, MD, PhD{dagger} and Geraldo Lorenzi-Filho, MD, PhD*

* Division of Respiratory Disease–Heart Institute (InCor), University of São Paulo Medical School, São Paulo, Brazil
{dagger} Centre for Exercise Science and Medicine (CESAME), Institute of Biomedical & Life Sciences (IBLS), University of Glasgow, Glasgow, United Kingdom

Manuscript received August 19, 2002; revised manuscript received November 11, 2002, accepted November 27, 2002.

* Reprint requests and correspondence: Dr. Joao J. Leite, Instituto do Coração, Rua Dr. Eneas Carvalho de Aguiar 44, CEP: 05403-000, São Paulo-SP, Brazil.
pnejoao{at}incor.usp.br

OBJECTIVES: We hypothesized that exercise-related periodic breathing (EPB) would be associated with poor prognosis in advanced chronic heart failure (CHF).

BACKGROUND: Patients with CHF might present instability of the ventilatory control system characterized by cyclic waxing and waning of tidal volume (periodic breathing [PB]). This condition is associated with several deleterious circulatory and neuro-endocrine responses; in fact, PB in awake and asleep patients has been identified as an independent risk factor for cardiac death. During exercise, however, the prognostic value of PB is still unknown in CHF patients awaiting heart transplantation.

METHODS: Eighty-four patients with established CHF (65 male, 19 female) were submitted to clinical evaluation, echocardiogram, ventricular scintigraphy, determination of resting serum norepinephrine levels, and an incremental cardiopulmonary exercise test on cycle ergometer. Patients were followed for up to 49.7 months (median = 15.3), and 26 patients (30.9%) died during this period.

RESULTS: Twenty-five of 84 patients presented EPB (29.7%). The following variables were related to mortality according to Kaplan-Meier and univariate Cox regression analysis: EPB (p = 0.004), New York Heart Association class (p = 0.04), serum norepinephrine (p = 0.06), peak oxygen uptake (ml·min–1·kg–1 and % predicted; p = 0.085 and p = 0.10, respectively), slope of the ratio of change in minute ventilation to change in carbon dioxide output during exercise (p = 0.10), and scintigraphic left ventricular ejection fraction (p = 0.10). Cox multivariate analysis identified EPB as the only independent variable for cardiac death prediction (p = 0.007). Therefore, EPB alone was associated with a 2.97-fold increase in risk of death in this population (95% confidence interval = 1.34 to 6.54).

CONCLUSIONS: Exercise-related periodic breathing independently predicts cardiac mortality in CHF patients considered for heart transplantation.

Abbreviations and Acronyms
  CHF = chronic heart failure
  CSR = Cheyne-Stokes respiration
  EPB = exercise-related periodic breathing
  LVEF = left ventricular ejection fraction
  NYHA = New York Heart Association
  PaCO2 = arterial carbon dioxide pressure
  PB = periodic breathing
  PETCO2 = end-tidal partial pressure for carbon dioxide
  CO2 = carbon dioxide output
  Vds = dead space volume
  E = minute ventilation
  O2 = oxygen uptake
  VT = tidal volume




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