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J Am Coll Cardiol, 2003; 41:47-55
© 2003 by the American College of Cardiology Foundation
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CLINICAL STUDY: CHRONIC CORONARY ATHEROSCLEROSIS

Level of kidney function as a risk factor for atherosclerotic cardiovascular outcomes in the community

Guruprasad Manjunath, MD*, Hocine Tighiouart, MS{dagger}, Hassan Ibrahim, MD{ddagger}, Bonnie MacLeod, BS{dagger}, Deeb N. Salem, MD§, John L. Griffith, PhD{dagger}, Josef Coresh, MD, PhD||, Andrew S. Levey, MD* and Mark J. Sarnak, MD*,*

* Division of Nephrology, Boston, Massachusetts, USA
{dagger} Division of Clinical Care Research, Boston, Massachusetts, USA
§ Division of Cardiology, Department of Medicine, New England Medical Center, Tufts University School of Medicine, Boston, Massachusetts, USA
{ddagger} Division of Nephrology and Hypertension, Department of Medicine, University of Minnesota, Minneapolis, Minnesota, USA
|| Johns Hopkins School of Medicine and the Welch Center for Prevention, Epidemiology, and Clinical Research, Johns Hopkins Medical Institutions, Baltimore, Maryland, USA

Manuscript received June 21, 2002; revised manuscript received September 12, 2002, accepted September 26, 2002.

* Reprint requests and correspondence: Dr. Mark J. Sarnak, Box 391, New England Medical Center, 750 Washington Street, Boston, Massachusetts 02111, USA.
msarnak{at}lifespan.org

OBJECTIVES: The goal of this study was to determine whether the level of kidney function is an independent risk factor for atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) outcomes in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) study, a prospective cohort study of subjects aged 45 to 64 years.

BACKGROUND: The level of kidney function is now recognized as a risk factor for ASCVD outcomes in patients at high risk for ASCVD, but it remains unknown whether the level of kidney function is a risk factor for ASCVD outcomes in the community.

METHODS: Cox proportional-hazards regression was used to evaluate the association of glomerular filtration rate (GFR) with ASCVD after adjustment for the major ASCVD risk factors in 15,350 subjects. We searched for nonlinear relationships between GFR and ASCVD.

RESULTS: During a mean follow-up time of 6.2 years, 965 (6.3%) of subjects had ASCVD events. Subjects with GFR of 15 to 59 ml/min/1.73 m2 (n = 444, hazard ratio 1.38 [1.02, 1.87]) and 60 to 89 ml/min/1.73 m2 (n = 7,665, hazard ratio 1.16 [1.00, 1.34]) had an increased adjusted risk of ASCVD compared with subjects with GFR of 90 to 150 ml/min/1.73 m2. Each 10 ml/min/1.73 m2 lower GFR was associated with an adjusted hazard ratio of 1.05 (1.02, 1.09), 1.07 (1.01, 1.12), and 1.06 (0.99, 1.13) for ASCVD, de novo ASCVD, and recurrent ASCVD, respectively. A nonlinear model did not fit the data better than a linear model.

CONCLUSIONS: The level of GFR is an independent risk factor for ASCVD and de novo ASCVD in the ARIC study.

Abbreviations and Acronyms
  ARIC
  Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study
  ASCVD
  atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease
  CHD
  coronary heart disease
  CVD
  cardiovascular disease
  GFR
  glomerular filtration rate
  HDL
  high-density lipoprotein
  K/DOQI
  Kidney Disease Outcomes Quality Initiative
  LDL
  low-density lipoprotein
  LVH
  left ventricular hypertrophy
  MDRD
  Modification of Diet in Renal Disease
  NHANES
  National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey
  NKF
  National Kidney Foundation




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