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J Am Coll Cardiol, 2000; 36:1877-1883
© 2000 by the American College of Cardiology Foundation
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CLINICAL STUDY: CARDIAC SURGERY

Prognostic factors for atherosclerosis progression in saphenous vein grafts

The postcoronary artery bypass graft (post-CABG) trial

Michael J. Domanski, MD, FACC*, Craig B. Borkowf, PhD{dagger}, Lucien Campeau, MD, FACC{ddagger}, Genell L. Knatterud, PhD§, Carl White, MD, FACC||, Byron Hoogwerf, MD, Yves Rosenberg, MD, MPH*, Nancy L. Geller, PhD{dagger} the Post-CABG Trial Investigators#

* Clinical Trials Group, National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute, Bethesda, Maryland, USA
{dagger} Office of Biostatistics Research, National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute, Bethesda, Maryland, USA
§ Maryland Medical Research Institute, Baltimore, Maryland, USA
|| Division of Cardiology, University of Minnesota Hospital, Minneapolis, Minnesota, USA
Cleveland Clinic Foundation, Cleveland, Ohio, USA
{ddagger} Department of Cardiology, Montreal Heart Institute, Montreal, Canada

Manuscript received February 28, 2000; revised manuscript received June 22, 2000, accepted July 31, 2000.

Reprint requests and correspondence: Dr. Michael Domanski, National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute, Bethesda, Maryland 20892

OBJECTIVES

The study was done to assess patients in the Post-Coronary Artery Bypass Graft (Post-CABG) trial to determine prognostic factors for atherosclerosis progression.

BACKGROUND

Saphenous vein grafts (SVGs) are effective in relieving angina and, in certain patient subsets, in prolonging life. However, the progression of atherosclerosis in many of these grafts limits their usefulness.

METHODS

The Post-CABG trial studied moderate versus aggressive lipid-lowering and low-dose warfarin versus placebo in patients with a history of coronary artery bypass surgery and found that more aggressive lipid lowering was effective in preventing progression of atherosclerosis in SVGs, but warfarin had no effect. Using variables measured at baseline, we sought the independent prognostic factors for atherosclerosis progression in SVGs, employing the statistical method of generalized estimating equations with a logit-link function.

RESULTS

Twelve independent prognostic factors for atherosclerosis progression were found. In the order of their importance they were: maximum stenosis of the graft at baseline angiography; years post-SVG placement; the moderate low-density lipoprotein–cholesterol (LDL-C) lowering strategy; prior myocardial infarction; high triglyceride level; small minimum graft diameter; low high-density lipoprotein–cholesterol (HDL-C); high LDL-C; high mean arterial pressure; low ejection fraction; male gender; and current smoking.

CONCLUSIONS

This study identified Post-CABG patient and SVG characteristics associated with saphenous vein graft atherosclerosis progression. These data provide a basis for rational risk factor management to prevent progression of SVG atherosclerosis.

Abbreviations and Acronyms
  CHD = coronary heart disease
  GEE = generalized estimating equation
  GLM = generalized linear model
  HDL-C = high-density lipoprotein cholesterol
  LDL-C = low-density lipoprotein cholesterol
  Post-CABG = Post-Coronary Artery Bypass Graft trial
  SAS = Statistical Analysis System
  SVG = saphenous vein graft




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