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J Am Coll Cardiol, 1999; 34:1067-1074
© 1999 by the American College of Cardiology Foundation
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CLINICAL STUDIES

Periprocedural quantitative coronary angiography after Palmaz-Schatz stent implantation predicts the restenosis rate at six months

Results of a meta-analysis of the belgian netherlands stent study (BENESTENT) I, BENESTENT II pilot, BENESTENT II and MUSIC trials

Patrick W. Serruys, MD, PhD, FACCa, I. Patrick Kay, MB, ChBa, Clemens Disco, MSc*, Niteen V. Deshpande, MD, DM, DNBa, Pim J. de Feyter, MD, PhD, FACCa on behalf of the BENESTENT I BENESTENT II Pilot BENESTENT II and MUSIC Study Groups

a Department of Interventional Cardiology, Thoraxcenter, Academisch Ziekenhuis, Rotterdam, The Netherlands
* Cardialysis, Rotterdam, The Netherlands

Manuscript received August 18, 1998; revised manuscript received April 22, 1999, accepted June 10, 1999.

Reprint requests and correspondence: Prof. Dr. Patrick W. Serruys, Department of Interventional Cardiology, Thoraxcenter Building 418, University Hospital Dijkzigt, Dr. Molewaterplein 40, 3015 GD Rotterdam, The Netherlands
Serruys{at}card.azr.nl

OBJECTIVES

We aimed to identify periprocedural quantitative coronary angiographic (QCA) variables that have predictive value on long-term angiographic results and to construct multivariate models using these variables for postprocedural prognosis.

BACKGROUND

Coronary stent implantation has reduced the restenosis rate significantly as compared with balloon angioplasty in short de novo lesions in coronary arteries >3 mm in size. Although the postprocedural minimal luminal diameter (MLD) is known to have significant bearing on long-term angiographic results, no practically useful model exists for prediction of angiographic outcome based on the periprocedural QCA variables.

METHODS

The QCA data from patients who underwent Palmaz-Schatz stent implantation for short (<15 mm) de novo lesions in coronary arteries >3 mm and completed six months of angiographic follow-up in the four prospective clinical trials (BENESTENT I, BENESTENT II pilot, BENESTENT II and MUSIC) were pooled. Multiple models were constructed using multivariate analysis. The Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness-of-fit test was used to identify the model of best fit, and this model was used to construct a reference chart for prediction of angiographic outcome on the basis of periprocedural QCA variables.

RESULTS

Univariate analysis performed using QCA variables revealed that vessel size, MLD before and after the procedure, reference area before and after the procedure, minimal luminal cross-sectional area before and after the procedure, diameter stenosis after the procedure, area of plaque after the procedure and area stenosis after the procedure were significant predictors of angiographic outcome. Using multivariate analysis, the Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness-of-fit test showed that the model containing percent diameter stenosis after the procedure and vessel size best fit the data. A reference chart was then developed to calculate the expected restenosis rate.

CONCLUSIONS

Restenosis rate after stent implantation for short lesions can be predicted using the variables percent diameter stenosis after the procedure and vessel size. This meta-analysis indicates that the concept of "the bigger the better" holds true for coronary stent implantation. Applicability of the model beyond short lesions should be tested.

Abbreviations and Acronyms
  AVID = Angiography Versus Intravascular Ultrasound Directed Coronary Stent Placement
  BENESTENT = BElgian NEtherlands STENT study
  CAAS II = Cardiovascular Angiography Analysis System II
  CI = confidence interval
  DS = diameter stenosis
  IVUS = intravascular ultrasound
  MLD = minimal lumen diameter
  MUSIC = Multicenter Ultrasound Stent In Coronaries study
  P-S = Palmaz-Schatz
  QCA = quantitative coronary angiography, angiographic
  RD = reference diameter
  STRESS = STent REStenosis Study




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